Quote:
Originally Posted by Hercules
good post, although i dont agree. and i love sarcasm btw, u brit
I def. get your point.
summary of ur point of view
If i summarize your argument correct one might paraphrase it like the following: "we are deep, i am ooP, i got the nuts, but to many cards decrease the value of my hand"
You explained how many cards can hurt you, but you seem forgett that only a few of them can help your opponent.
My solution; just theorish
All you have to do is give him a range for leading out AND calling ur raise (although calling might be fine, too, but tahts another point). If he´s never bluffing, cf bad turn cards. Since he never bluffs, you put ur money in ahead = profit
If he is bluffing \vbetting with 100% of his range, just look how ur equity changes on certain turn cards and act accordingly.
If he is good enough to balance etc etc...you should also balance....
If he balances better...WTF are u doing in this hand on that table?!
Hi Hercules - It kind of depends on how many opponents have also seen the flop. With multiple opponents seeing the flop, it's not too hard for one of them to have a set with clubs, and for another to have JT98. And in that case, assuming they both call your bet, you only have 91 turn and river two-card combos that win for you, out of 990 possible. It's about 10 to 1 against you that you'll end up getting outdrawn, and you'll maybe only be getting 2 to 1 fresh money odds. Hard to figure exactly because of changes after the turn - and you're right that one player can't have it all - but flopped middle card nut straights are notorious for getting out-drawn. Playing them properly is a dilemma and depends on your opponents, but even at a table with weak opponents, the danger, because of the possibility of multiple hands against you with various draws, you can get stuck.
One opponent and you're way ahead, (assuming your opponent doesn't also have the straight with redraws), but if five opponents see the flop and two continue to your bet after the flop, the chance your flopped nut middle card straight will hold up are slim. My solution in the high/low game is to pass on starting hands that tend to put you in this quandary if you don't also have ace-deuce or maybe suited ace-trey, suited ace-four, or maybe a few others, depending on the game and your opponents.
Sometimes you're in the big blind and so you end up seeing the flop with trash like KQ54-rainbow. But then if you flop the nut middle card straight, you're in the midst of the dilemma. It's worse in the high/low game, because you're only playing for half the pot. (54 for low with a two-club-763 flop stinks). You have the nuts for high after the flop, but after the next card it's 31 to 14, or about two to one, that you won't still have the nuts for high.
Buzz