I'm at the final table of a tournament, a guy is playing with a huge chip stack, just abusing the entire table, basically steam rolls the table ala Jamie Gold. He ends up winning the tournament easily. I search for him on Official Poker Rankings, and his recent results are amazing.

The guy is a losing player over the course of his play, but this past weekend he has finished: 1/1173, 2/1487, 47/1105, 8/158, 12/145, 6/367, 6/159 for scores of $2,269, $4,854, $27 (ok, maybe this one doesn't belong), $555, $278, $3,250, and $450. Last weekend, he finished 50/3057 for $1,388.

I've never been suspicious of online poker, and I'm not saying this guy is cheating, but is a hot streak like this actually possible? It seems like a person would have better odds at winning Powerball than making it that deep in so many fields in the span of a single weekend. Something about it seems off to me. In the two years listed on OPR prior to this hot streak, he only had 3 scores > $1,000 which were $1,275, $2,365, and $1,012.

http://www.officialpokerrankings.com...58EC9.html?t=2

Donks Never Win Donkaments. I would send the site an email

Rather than publicly accusing someone of being a thief, it would seem like a good idea to report your concerns to the site involved.

Either:

1) The accused may be innocent. Slander is bad.

or

2) The accused may be guilty. Letting the guilty know they are under investigation is bad.

Back in January, I won 20 straight Sit n Gos. I don't know that I'll -ever- be able to repeat that performance again (especially considering I don't think I've won a single one since February)

Post your screen name or a screen shot or this didnt happen (Unless they were HU SNG's)

Wow, OP, this is one of the most offensive posts I've ever seen. A guy goes on a heater over a few weeks, and you accuse him (even just hinting) that he's cheating?

Looking at the OPR listing you linked, he started playing in Oct 2006. So we're talking about a year and a half's worth of data, in which time he's got a bunch of decent scores, including a bunch of them recently. Looks like a heater to me, nothing suspicious.

I haven't had a 4 figure score since late 2006 - so if I get on a heater and FT two tourneys this weekend I'm cheating?

Weak argument - imo you owe somebody an apology.

OT

def no cheating here standard variance (heater)

lol OP, you never heard of running good or something?

Maybe the guy quit drinking and sobered up.

Maybe his 11 yr old daughter started playing his account

lol, nh.

I don't know if anyone tracks it, but it's 'eblade' on Cake

Serious question, can you see how many other tourneys he played over this hot streak? If not, maybe he's just played a ton recently?

Sharkscope got you down for 2 in a row max, I'd be suprised if anybody has won 20 x 6/9 max sng's in a row!

no, i haven't cause it's never happened to me, but grats 2 the dude it's happening to now who is OP's object of scrutiny

[QUOTE=ucaclint;3749986]...this past weekend he has finished: 1/1173, 2/1487, 47/1105, 8/158, 12/145, 6/367, 6/159 for scores of $2,269, $4,854, $27 (ok, maybe this one doesn't belong), $555, $278, $3,250, and $450. Last weekend, he finished 50/3057 for $1,388
...
it seems like a person would have better odds at winning Powerball than making it that deep in so many fields in the span of a single weekend. ...

[QUOTE]

not that I question the integrity of it, but I heard someone won the powerball

the fact that u dont mention how many tourneys he played , just the time span, casts a foul shadow of ******edness over your every sentence.

congrats on a successful quote sir

The guy you are talking about is a decent tournament player. You sir, are just a paranoid noob.

maybe he subscribed to matusow's training site

Statistical abnormalities happen. I once got 26 wagers in a row correct in 98. Maybe the NFL and I were colluding. The results are not even impressive. The guy finished in the top 10 in a 3 tournaments with 150 people in them came 12th in one with 350 and top 2 in two 1000+ player tournaments. The last stat is the only one I find slightly odd but the sample size is 2 which is hardly significant. When you look at the prizes it is pretty clear these were tournaments with very low entry fees. I don't play tournaments but people who play $1 to $5 tournaments tend to really suck so I'd expect someone who has been playing for 3 years to do well.

http://www.liquidpoker.net/blog/viewblog.php?id=471361

So in other words, you just described the exact kind of player that this kind of variance could happen to. An aggro player getting cards can win any tourney. This isn't even weird, he has just been running good.

EDIT: WTF, he played a ton of tourneys too. He cashed in less than 30% of his tourneys during that time. Ridiculous post.

"Back in January, I won 20 straight Sit n Gos"


I won 194 straight in 2006 before i switched to cash games.

"******edness"?... your failure to correctly turn ******ed into a noun casts a foul shadow of ******ation over an otherwise effective zing.

Looking at the link I see that there are a lot of other results that are less spectacular.
If I play a zillion tourneys then it's pretty likely I'm going to do well in some of them.
And the tourneys that I do happen to do well in aren't likely to be spaced out evenly. I'm going to run hot at some point and run super-cold at others.


Anyway, instead of just cherry-picking his very best results and almost implying that he didn't have any bad finishes in there too I think it's fair to post ALL of his tourney results on the weekend in question.

265/1281
6/367
468/1107
281/973
104/874
154/1093
95/198
79/197
12/145
66/393
101/620
241/249
188/584
923/2006
946/1073
348/814
781/974
47/221

377/597
2/1487
1/1173
47/1105
453/1017
310/1151
153/219
33/233
19/467
8/158
113/267
95/613


OMG!!!
He played 30 tournaments and made the final-table 5 times and cashed 9 times!!!
He must be a super-user!!