I getcha on the math, Rusty, thanks for the corrections.
I do think you're looking at it from a cash perspective, instead of turbo.
Turbos are more of a crapshoot for obvious reasons. You can still win them consistently against the
average dead $$ -- your edges being blind stealing, cbetting, etc. Generally speaking, ABC poker wins these STTs from Sunday thru Thursday.
But on Fri and Sat, against so many bad players, "Random" is a more formidable opponent. 2-3 insane players/table is easily winnable. But at 4-6 insane players/table, you cross a threshold ... after which,
playing ABC poker hurts you. Which is why the following changes -- I explained in previous posts -- work:
Playing strong (but not premium) hands slightly weaker than ABC poker dictates during preflop.
Ie raising AQo to 2.5x instead of 3x/4x/5x. This minimizes the damage Random does to you --
which is a higher priority than maximizing profit because STTs reward overcautious play.
Mostly preflop play
Simplifies the big mess of variables that is the flop/turn/river structure... into simple statistics. Your goal is to get someone all-in when you're the favorite. If you can do this, it doesn't matter if you're playing against a pro or a fish -- best hand wins longterm.
***
So here is the summary of points:
1)
Main priority is to get someone all-in PF when you're the favorite.
2)
If you must see a flop with a strong hand, bet it weaker than ABC poker says.
3)
If one table deals you no premium hands, do not just play tight; play ultra tight. (Push at 5-7BB, not 10BB+)
And now I am adding a fourth point to the strategy:
4)
Start "playing" poker just before the bubble. Blind stealing, cbetting, semibluffing, 3betting bluffs, etc. By this point, the clueless players are gone except one, who's a massive chipleader. And he can be outplayed easily when it's shorthanded.
I know I said some really obvious things in this post but the main points are not so obvious...
Last edited by rrrorrim; 02-29-2008 at 06:49 PM.