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monsterdraw on turn Sundy Warmup monsterdraw on turn Sundy Warmup

02-03-2008 , 06:08 PM
no special read on BB. CO is a maniac.

If i win this Hand i'm chipleader. Call or fold? AVG is about 110000.

Call or fold?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t4000 (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button (t177528)
Hero (t195766)
BB (t301864)
UTG (t61550)
UTG+1 (t117380)
MP1 (t83246)
MP2 (t37965)
MP3 (t57998)
CO (t197910)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4, 6.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls t4000, 3 folds, CO calls t4000, 1 fold, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t17200) 7, A, 2 (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, CO checks.

Turn: (t17200) 5 (4 players)
Hero bets t8000, BB raises to t20000, UTG+1 folds, CO raises to t52000, Hero calls t44000, BB raises to t297464, CO folds, Hero?
02-04-2008 , 12:02 AM
140k to us with 313k in the pot? 14/46 if all our outs are live...but he may hold 55...if he has aces up we are supposed to call? Fold if he has a set? it's very close but having a monster stack in these tournaments is so awesome...i probably call.
02-04-2008 , 05:51 AM
i think you have to fold to the raise/reraise. almost positive
02-04-2008 , 06:53 AM
Board: 7d 2h Ac 5c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 31.643% 31.64% 00.00% 543 0.00 { 6c4c }
Hand 1: 68.357% 68.36% 00.00% 1173 0.00 { AA, 77, 55, 22, A7s, A5s, A2s, A7o, A5o, A2o }

Pot is 452,732 if we call. We expect to win 143245 and to call is 139766, so i mean its very small EV vs this range, but pushing our small edges to get a huge stack in a sunday major is worth it imo.
02-04-2008 , 07:33 AM
Thank you guys!

i guess i have 2 possibilities to play the hand well: rerereraise all in or fold.
cause if BB is on the nutflushdraw he got perfekt odds to call.

given the way i played the hand my question is if the chiplead with 290 players left is worth risking the tourney life.

maybe someone can give me an approach for calculation.

thx

btw: do you lead the turn as well?

      
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