Episode #445 - January 12th, 2017

Live from the Two Plus Two Studios - On this episode of the Pokercast: Adam jetted down to the Bahamas for the Pokerstars Championship event with his new gig, and joins us from the Atlantis! Terrence is also about to be on the way to a poker tour stop and we chat about that before we jump into the news. This week: Mike Mcdonald launches a new poker staking site with a twist, Dan Smith raises $1.7M for charity, the legality of online poker in Australia is threatened, a new Brains vs AI heads up poker challenge is happening and more. Our first guest this week is Jaime Staples, Jaime pops in and joins Adam amidst a deep run in the main event in the Bahamas and chats about that as well as how twitch poker has been evolving. After Jaime we have a Degen Story with the one and only JC Alvarado. Our Run It Once guest coach this week is Dylan Linde who joins us to give us some pointers on plugging leaks in your game. We’ve also got 140 or less, Ross Report hands and more of your mail in the mailbag!

Keep Online Poker Legal in Australia!

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First! Always wanted to say that lol

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turd

guess I'll have to settle for the Pierre de Coubertin medal

Grats to Adam for his new gig.

Just finished listening so permit me to post consecutive posts.

One of your emails asked about the "clumping effect" on the Big Blind's hand distribution when it is folded around to you in the Small Blind (I think it was a 9-handed table). The listener wondered how much the Big Blind's hand distribution is strengthened given all the folds around to you.

Here is a link to a thread asking a similar question.

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/15...-skew-1631896/

As was mentioned on the podcast, the effect is real but typically pretty small. Generally speaking, I think the Big Blind's hand distribution becomes roughly two percentage points stronger with his median hand shifting a couple of hand-ranking slots higher.

More importantly, Terrence rightfully pointed out that this small clumping effect has virtually no bearing on either player's optimal strategy, especially in an 8-BB bubble situation.

As evidence of the general unimportance of the clumping effect, I have yet to see a Push-Fold chart specify how many players have folded before you. Of course, the optimal Push-Fold threshold depends upon how many players are yet to act, but that is not the same thing.

I would guess that the optimal Push-Fold threshold in a 9-handed game folded to the Small Blind in an 8-BB bubble situation may change by a single hand-ranking slot for either player, but more likely the respective thresholds are not altered.

Interested listeners can use the "Search" feature to locate other previous 2+2 threads related to card removal, card elimination, clumping effects, etc.

Polish curse?

AS Have not yet listened to the podcast. Hope yer stayin'.

Great episode as always guys! Really relieved to hear that you aren't going anywhere Adam and you sound really excited about this so best of luck!

Great news for both Adam and the PokerCast fans.

wondering if my email got overlooked/not received or if it didn't make the cut quality wise

hmm

You talked about the downturn at PCA and the lack of Euro's there. For me, the $ rate is now so much more expensive. It went from a steady 1.5 to a highly volatile 1.2.

A $5k event used to cost me £3.3k.
Now it's £4.1k. Plus all the airfares and expenses have done the same.

in re Adam's concerns about a player buying PokerShares in himself enticing a deal, Terrence pretty much nailed it: just cap the size of a share at a fraction of the buy-in for that tourney. This would force the equity in the tournament to greatly supersede the equity in the PokerShares position.

By the way, you guys were also correct about having fans suddenly take a greater interest in poker tournaments. I could absolutely see myself buying but alas, the site is blocked in the sweet land of liberty.

Since Ross is still looking to create a bumper for the Degen Stories segment, may I suggest a line from this scene (go to 0:49):



It might be tough, as Chris (Val Kilmer) begins talking immediate as the word "degenerates" ends.