200nl effective stacks are about 140ish BBs
EP player makes it $4. He plays a 27/3 game.
I'm in MP with Q
Q
and call
SB unknown calls
BB unknown calls too
Flop($16) Q
7
K
SB bets $10
BB calls
EP player folds
I call
Turn($43.45) Q
7
K
5
SB checks
BB bets $10.86
I call
SB folds
River($64.72) Q
7
K
5
6
BB checks
Me???
I don't think a lot of people would take this sort of line with an A
. I think the turn sizing is usually bigger and the river is usually bet at. I'm thinking he might have J
, T
, or 9
willing to call a 1/2 or 2/3 bet on the river. Would it be able to stand the heat of an all-in though?
My perceived range would likely be KQ, QQ, 77 and flushes by the river. If I shoved all-in it would definitely look like an ace high flush and might be hard to see me do that with 3 of a kind just, because most people would probably check it back.
However an all-in bluff would need to succeed 80% of the time in order to be successful. Also he did give me the perfect odds to draw to a fullhouse on the turn so it wouldn't be unreasonable for an opponent to do this to trap me with an A
themselves. I did check the turn too. For these reasons I ended up not bluffing all-in.
Last edited by TheGodson; 08-23-2015 at 04:09 AM.