Hey i'm trying to find river check raises spots. What do you think of this one ?
HH says 6 players but it was full ring with 2 players sitting out
Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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CO: $32 (32 bb)
BTN: $207.27 (207.3 bb)
SB: $131.37 (131.4 bb)
BB: $100 (100 bb)
Hero (UTG): $104.50 (104.5 bb)
MP: $100 (100 bb)
: Hero is UTG with K
Hero raises to $3
, MP calls $3, CO folds
, BTN calls $3, SB calls $2.50, BB folds
: ($13) K
T (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8.28
, MP calls $8.28, 2 folds
: ($29.56) Q (2 players)
, MP checks
: ($29.56) 3 (2 players)
, MP bets $14
Vilain is a standard average 16/14 TAG. Not much of a cold caller. When he flats UTG+1 I view his range as something like KK-88 and AK maybe KQs, QJs but I'm not even sure.
OTF I cbet mostly to get value from btn who's a fish but when the reg calls with 2 players left to act I'm thinking I'm beaten and down with the hand. I now think his range is like KK TT AK and maybe KQ QJ QQ
When he checks back the turn I think the only hand that remains in his range is AK and maybe QJ
When he bets river 14 into 28 he could as well turn over his hand. I think he has AK 95% of the time.
I still could have a tricky KK TT or even AJ, he definitely can't. There's a nitty dynamic between the 2 of us. I don't know if he thinks I capable of c/r bluffing rivers
So is this a good opportunity to c/r bluff ?