Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Regular's All-in River Bluff Regular's All-in River Bluff

06-10-2016 , 02:17 PM
The game was 1/2 and I had a stack of $300 two off the button. The Cutoff with the with $200 had a $5 straddle (you can straddle from anywhere in this casino). Action is folded to a Regular (with many fishy qualities) UTG with a $200 stack who makes it $20. Action is fold around to me with QhJh and I call. Cutoff calls (pot is $63) I knew the Regular/Fish had a very strong hand. I'm thinking his range is something like AA-JJ, AKs - AQs, AKo - AQo.

Flop comes Qs 8h 6h

Regular/Fish bets out $75. I am sure I'm behind and don't want to push. I don't want to fold so I call. The player behind me folds. The pot $213.

Turn is 2c.

The Regular/Fish takes ten seconds and checks. I check behind without thinking twice.

River is 3s.

The Regular/Fish takes about 45 seconds before he act then goes all in for his remaining chips $120. I take some time to consider calling but ultimately lay it down. The Regular/Fish shows Ac Kc.

I stuck with my original read and lost a decent pot. I figure a river call there is a bad play a good percentage of the time given my opponents hand range and considering how few 1/2 players make the all-in bluff bet on the river.

I would like to know you guy's thoughts on this hand. Thanks.
Regular's All-in River Bluff Quote
06-14-2016 , 02:30 AM
Shove flop
Call river
Regular's All-in River Bluff Quote
06-18-2016 , 11:42 AM
You are decently ahead of the range you assigned villain, equity wise, on the flop , just get it in on the flop and avoid getting moved off your equity on the turn
Regular's All-in River Bluff Quote
07-14-2016 , 02:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by herbalerv
You are decently ahead of the range you assigned villain, equity wise, on the flop , just get it in on the flop and avoid getting moved off your equity on the turn
Correct my math here, but I see it this way:

AA - 12 Combos
KK - 12 Combos
QQ - 1 Combo
JJ - 12 Combos
AK - 16 Combos
AQ - 8 Combos

For a total of 61 possible hands V could have.

Hero is ahead 46% of the time, and behind 54%.

Now 51% of the time he improves to two pair or better, and even though he's still behind 1 combo of AK if a :heart; hits, or QQ if he hits a J, am I right that that would leave him with ~70% equity on this flop? (46% when he's ahead + (54% * 51%) = 73%, discounting a few percentage for V's redraws)

Last edited by PoBoy321; 07-14-2016 at 02:37 PM.
Regular's All-in River Bluff Quote
07-15-2016 , 10:53 AM
http://www.propokertools.com/simulations

board: Qs8h6h
QhJh 64.65%
AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK, AQ 35.35%
Regular's All-in River Bluff Quote
08-06-2016 , 06:14 PM
you dont need to think about range. just call river with top pair vs fish its live $1/2
Regular's All-in River Bluff Quote

      
m