Originally Posted by coordi
I play each hand differently and worry little about stats.
Originally Posted by coordi
I guess i just underestimate the variance in this game, as im down another 7 bi of ai equity...
WTF? You are saying that you are not worrying about stats but you are checking most pointless program (pokerEV) every single day. It's rigged. I am sure that's program is not telling the truth.
I tell you one story. Some time ago I was "stat nit" as my friend. I noticed that we both lose money in "non SD" pots and we decided to improve that. Before change we ran normal - sometimes we ran good, sometimes bad but generally in the long run the red line tracks blue line and green line was lowest. It was indicator that we lose money in non sd pots.
We started improve it - we put more effort to take down more pots; All went great. Green line was abovest line but what I saw - we both ran below expectation. We tested this style 2 months and I ran almost every single day below expectation. We both stopped using this style and switched back to normal style - and all was ok again. Green line was belowest and red/blue line tracks each other - sometimes we ran below, sometimes above expectation but in the long run we ran normal as before.
Also I have noticed that many players whose green line is highest, their blue line is below red line. Don't know - maybe they really constantly run bad but I am not sure.
Anyway I uninstalled this program because of this program I changed my working playing style into not-working **** and after this day I never-ever look my stats. It was great learning session for me. Poker - it's not stats, it's not programs - it's all about your style and adjusting. Also I heard that kelisitan, the Great 24-tabling Hero, who killing the games, never used PAHUD/tracker before. So stats are pointless, programs are pointless. Use them to see how you are doing in different situations and try rethink and try to find alternatives to play different situations. But never-ever say - I RUN BAD BECAUSE POKEREV telling or I am so unlucku and never hit set because setometer shows that; Let's say setometer shows that in last 100k hands you hit set 1:5 - you run good? No. Maybe you get coolered most of the times and other times they never payed you off. Or other guy in last 100k hands hits set 1:17 but every time they payed off. He ran bad?
Please don't use this programs do say that you run good or bad. Only bad players say they run below expectation. You can always do better - you can save one extra dollar by folding or squeezing one extra dollar by valuebetting more.
Also switching back to pokerEV - I made thread where basically I asked that's there are "possibilty" that someone run below expectation because his playing style? I think my wording was bad there and this thread dies. Thread was here
And once I did lifetime PokerEV graphs [800k hands, If you want to do it: Filter hands what went to SD and then EXPORT them. After that reimport them into new database and then use pokerEV] and I run more than 10 buy-ins over expectation. So I am lucky one??
And coordi - you are very good player. Definitely better than me because my hand reading skill sucks. But what I have noticed - sometimes you are going too far with medium strength hands or doing too huge hero calls or trying to take down too many pots. I think this style works very well higher levels but no need do to that at NL100. It's micro level, where are tons of loose fishes without fold equity. No need to bluff or hero-call these fishes. All what you have todo - keep hammering fishes, steal small pots from nits (isolating them or steal their blinds) and sometimes playback to regs. Also if you are never-ever playback and you keep folding your hands their 3bets, then once you get your hand and you 4bet, then they start overthinking: "omg, now he plays back to me" and they shove for you with trash.