Villain has a 6% raise first from EP and 3.5 agg factor (2k hands)

What hands does villain flat my raise on the flop with?

What does he check call the turn with???

In his spot i'd be playing my big hands pretty fast....

Cassava Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 1623849
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $437.89
SB: $97.38
BB: $40.00
UTG: $136.93
UTG+1: $46.15
MP1: $84.90
Hero (MP2): $107.85
CO: $44.88

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP2 with 6 6
UTG raises to $3, 2 folds, Hero calls $3, 2 folds, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($10.00) 8 7 6 (3 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $7.50, Hero raises to $21, SB folds, UTG calls $13.50

Turn: ($52.00) T (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $29, UTG calls $29

River: ($110.00) Q (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero ?

wow your hud is strange

against a 6% UTG open it's an easy value shove imo

feels like vilain has jacks or tens

id check back anyway he doesnt call with worse

whats strange about it?

Check back the river. I'm not sure I even bet the turn. 99 is definitely in his range here along with better sets and I doubt he's going to check-call turn with just an overpair on this board texture and he doesn't really have any combos of 2p in his pre flop range.

i think at 100nl i would probably bet like 15 on the turn and 15 on the river.

I assume bet folding?

If so are you not worried about inducing with such small bets?

Its not like hes gonna turn AA into a bluff here.

I think if you take this line and shove the river you are bluffing with your hand b/c villain is literally never going to call w/ worse but may fold a set.

I look at villain's flop b/c range at TT+........giving us something like 3:1 ahead. So any bet probably prices us in on the river as played. It think we need to bet something....and even if pushed over, we're in, right?

Maybe $25....how can AA or KK not call $25? (Don't think we push...cause only QQ,TT give us a call)

^ I think 77/88 are probably in most 6% ranges?

Do you think he's getting these in on the flop?

what about 99?

I don't think over 2K hands we can reliably add 77 through 99.

imo

((I believe stove has 88+ and a bunch of other strong non-pairs))

however, if we bet the river....we look extremely strong on this board. Imma gunna go out on a limp here and say he had TT as you wouldn't be posting a winning hand ((OK, "maybe" he rivered the Q for top set....but Imma going with the specific TTT)).

Even with that, I think we still have to bet the river irl to get value for all the other top pairs we beat that call a smallish bet.

check

Not getting max value feels like losing!

Regarding the range, I'd assume his range is 6% +/- a couple of %. So based on the sample size we can't exclude 77-99. sensible?

Why do you think this is the best move sir?