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Originally Posted by Malice's Attorney
This looks much better than I remember in the beginning, nice work!
Thanks.
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Since we will all obviously be losing strokes due to the data being from PGA players, would you say there is more/less importance on losing X strokes from the different categories? If you're losing 5 strokes/round in both driving/putting, does that imply one should be working on those weaker areas of their game equally?
I imagine there is more data that demonstrates the varying importance of decreasing the different types of strokes lost, e.g. you benefit more from shaving a stroke off driving vs. putting (this was discussed somewhat above with % of wins due to putting)? Essentially, are there other calculations that estimate your expected scoring improvement if you decrease strokes lost in T/F/R/S/G by X?
Hopefully that makes sense, I am just positing but it would be useful to understand if it's more beneficial for one to decrease strokes lost in D by .4 than in P by .6 -- there are probably too many variables at play here to be definitive...
Im not sure there is any evidence that there is varying importance of decreasing different types of strokes lost. I think that is basically the beauty of strokes gained calculations in that it is able to put every shot on an equal playing field with regards to calculating how valuable it is.
Improving your ability by 1 stroke in the driving category or by 1 stroke in the putting category should be equal. The only thing about that is that it could be harder to do 1 or the other depending in how good you are in the category in the first place. Also, distance plays a pretty big role so for most people it will be much easier to improve their putting vs a tour player.
For someone who only hits the ball 230 yards off the tee, they are going to get penalized pretty good in the Driving stats. A 230 yard drive into the fairway on shorter holes is going to be about 0 strokes gained driving, but will lose .1 to .2 shots on longer holes. That's a problem since that is that person's best drive. 230 yards into the rough will lose between .2 and .4 shots. That's a lot.
If I recall I believe there was some data about 25 yards off the tee being worth roughly .75 shots per round on Tour. That is probably a decent starting # for figuring out what you can possibly attain in the Driving category. I would guess if someone averages 230 yards off the tee just about the best they could do would be losing a little less than 1.5 shots per round. So that should be taken into account when analyzing which parts of your game are actually the weakest.
Last edited by NxtWrldChamp; 02-16-2015 at 03:50 PM.