Quote:
Originally Posted by Wondercall
Got 50-1 for Phil to improve all 4 rounds
Interesting bet, where did you find it? I ran a pretty legit simulation that takes skill level and the cut into account, and the average probability for the top 50 guys in the field to improve all 4 rounds was 2.04%, making this a slightly +EV Bet at 50-1 for those guys. It's harder to do at the bottom of the field because shooting 80-78 sets you up well for improvement but you aren't going to make the cut.