Originally Posted by ntnBO
If you think you're a 10-12 you're probably a 15 or so, and there's not a 15 on earth that breaks 100 in this format.
However, and this a big however, you've been as low as a 3. With a little work, inside a month you should easily be able to get down to an 8 or even lower. And a consistent 8 would probably have the advantage in this wager. Maybe.
Let's use an potential example for a 10-15 on #12 at Augusta National. Hit a good shot on the green and a ball in the water. Must drop behind the water hitting 3. Hit a good shot on the green and a bad shot in the back bunker. From the bunker hit a good shot on the green but a shot a bit long that catches the slope and goes in the water. Now you're hitting 6 from the drop area. Catch the drift on how nasty this format can be?
I'm trying to reconcile why you think this is a no-win bet. To me it just seems like a regular round of golf for a 15 handicap, with a few more chances to make mistakes.
Standard par 4 on standard course; Hit a decent drive in the fair, hit a decent drive into the rough. Play the one from the rough. Both shots end up around the green, play the one with the worst angle. Chip both on, play the one with the longest putt. Two putt both. Bogey.
The better of the two shots is practice. This is like playing two rounds, with all of the worst shots put into one round.
Now that I say that I can see why 100 might be about the right number.