Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluegrassplayer
So some quick wikipediaing: 10 murders per 100,000 in Philippines. Population 100 million.
total murders a year: approx 10,000. 10,000/12 =833 average a month.
last two months 1900 murders for average of 950.
You don't consider a 14% increase to be significant?
In most things an increase of 14% is considered to be significant.
Also the manner in which people are being killed as well as the times of day they are being killed at and locations they are being killed at all have varying affects on the overall safety of the streets as well.
Then to there is the fact that at the end of the first month the death toll was said to be between 400-500, so either it increased almost 3x in month two or they have now found out they greatly under reported last months deaths meaning there are also probably currently way under on this months deaths. In other case the actual 2 month total is likely to be at least a few hundred more than 1900.
That would then further increase the percentage raise in monthly murders between pre Duterte and now.
But that's speculation for now.
With the numbers your provided we have evidence of a 14% increase in monthly murders, hard to not consider that a significant increase.