Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > Tournament Poker > High Stakes MTT

High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of high stakes MTT hands and techniques

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-04-2008, 05:04 PM   #1
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Bond18's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: At your MTT table
Posts: 9,631
WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

History/Reads:

We're about 20 minutes into the tournament. Not many hands have been played, but the table is playing pretty loose/bad.

SB is a 50 year old guy who hasn't done anything out of the ordinary. Seen a couple flops, not taking down any pots or anything. He doesn't seem like the type to flat QQ+ in the SB after all this action, but I don't really have anything to prove that statement.

CO is a young guy named Cody who is very much a live player. He can think things through but he calls too much, bet sizes are off, etc.

I've played a couple pots, and lost a few hundred raising then C betting and giving up in one spot. Starting stack was 4000.

My stack: 3400. SB: 3900. CO: 2800. Blinds 25/50.
I hold JT on the HJ.

Preflop: Folds to MP1, MP1 raises to 150, folds to me on the HJ, I call, CO calls, button calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: 3 3 A
Everyone checks.

Turn: K
Everyone checks.

River: Q
SB bets 300, folds to me, I raise to 900, CO thinks for a while, doesn't look particularly sure about himself, and calls, button folds. SB thinks for 15 seconds, then makes it 2300, hero?
Bond18 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 05:29 PM   #2
grinder
 
PoorSkillz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: America
Posts: 449
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

It looks like SB could've been hoping 1 of the 5 (!!!) other people in the hand would bet the flop or turn, so the question would be does he have trip 3's, a fullhouse (A3, K3, Q3, or QQ), or quads. With so many chips in the pot already and not really having to worry that the CO has you beat, I think the odds would make this a call.
PoorSkillz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 05:32 PM   #3
veteran
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,892
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

I'd call and expect to chop a fair amount. The thing is there just aren't many fullhouses that make sense (A3) and the price is too good. I call but don't feel good about it.
dw2006 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 06:02 PM   #4
grinder
 
PoorSkillz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: America
Posts: 449
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

Quote:
Originally Posted by dw2006 View Post
I'd call and expect to chop a fair amount.
Lol yeah, I forgot about chop, I just realized all 3 of them can easily have the same hand here.
PoorSkillz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 06:12 PM   #5
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
registrar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: By the stove
Posts: 6,711
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

Quote:
Originally Posted by dw2006 View Post
The thing is there just aren't many fullhouses that make sense (A3).
Villain is ~50 with a zillion BBs in front of him - in a limped pot, he'll call more or less anything pf with a 3x and three flats in front of him.

Our decision should be based way more on the question of whether he three-bets worse on the the river, rather than trying to work out what he gets to the river with - because that's pretty much anything IMO, certainly literally any combination sooted.
registrar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 06:36 PM   #6
Pooh-Bah
 
SEABEAST's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 4,733
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

i think this is a pretty clear fold

i don't wanna sound like daniel negreanu or anything but 50 year old live players that you haven't noticed do anything yet just don't reraise non full house hands here in the first level very often, cutoff might have JT but i think SB is full or quads
SEABEAST is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 07:02 PM   #7
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
luckychewy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: 11
Posts: 7,292
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

sb's far and away most likely hand(and what he has just about everytime if u ask me) is a3. i would snap snap snap fold this.

EDIT: eh the a3 can't be suited, k3s or q3s might be more likely. either way he has a boat too often to consider calling.
luckychewy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 07:38 PM   #8
veteran
 
ShowUthExit's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: the xx :)
Posts: 2,125
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

Quote:
Originally Posted by luckychewy View Post
EDIT: eh the a3 can't be suited, k3s or q3s might be more likely. either way he has a boat too often to consider calling.
smoke more weed turtle, srsly smoke more weed
ShowUthExit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 07:59 PM   #9
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,089
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

I'd fold this without much thought.
stealthmunk is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 08:18 PM   #10
old hand
 
NYWalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Python
Posts: 1,801
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bond18 View Post

My stack: 3400. SB: 3900. CO: 2800. Blinds 25/50.
I hold JT on the HJ.

Preflop: Folds to MP1, MP1 raises to 150, folds to me on the HJ, I call, CO calls, button calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: 3 3 A
Everyone checks.

Turn: K
Everyone checks.

River: Q
SB bets 300, folds to me, I raise to 900, CO thinks for a while, doesn't look particularly sure about himself, and calls, button folds. SB thinks for 15 seconds, then makes it 2300, hero?
Fold.

I guess you and CO had the same hand.

SB may have A3 or K3, maybe 33. Assume the 50tish live player SB had a naked 3, he could have planned to CR the flop, since no one bet the flop, he'd bet the turn unless he made a boat there. Given he checked twice and bet/3bet the river, he believed he had the best hand either on the flop or at the turn, that range >> our hand.

Again, this is from a general read, but who knows, a bad player could play TJ, trip 3s this way too.

On your side, against two guys, you are overcalling for a chop. If you fold, with the remaining stack at this level, you still have a shot. Fold.

Last edited by NYWalker; 06-04-2008 at 08:28 PM.
NYWalker is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 08:28 PM   #11
old hand
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Baller on a budget
Posts: 1,994
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

I fold this. The SB re-re-raised the river..... wtf? Very confusing, but I fold this. I think a full house is much more likely than JT. A3, K3, Q3, 33, I would rule out QQ.
When you re-raise he would have to be thinking that he JT might not be good if he was a somewhat thinking player.
PhatPots is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 09:24 PM   #12
Possibly Too Level Headed
 
adanthar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Now with 100% more poker
Posts: 18,563
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

aside from random braincramps anyone that calls here is setting large amounts of money on fire

note: anyone that calls with A3 here is also setting said money on fire
adanthar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 09:40 PM   #13
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
luckychewy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: 11
Posts: 7,292
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

Quote:
Originally Posted by ShowUthExit View Post
smoke more weed turtle, srsly smoke more weed
lol what?

adanthar, bond should fold a3? whaat?
luckychewy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 09:43 PM   #14
Pooh-Bah
 
bazooka87's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calling down
Posts: 4,194
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

Quote:
Originally Posted by adanthar View Post
note: anyone that calls with A3 here is also setting said money on fire
...what?
bazooka87 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2008, 10:09 PM   #15
veteran
 
ShowUthExit's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: the xx :)
Posts: 2,125
Re: WSOP 2k NL Rivered Straight spot

Quote:
Originally Posted by luckychewy View Post
lol what?

adanthar, bond should fold a3? whaat?

was assuming you were stoned when saying A3 could not be suited...
ShowUthExit is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:12 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2010, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.2.0 ©2008, Crawlability, Inc.
Copyright © 2009, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
Message Boards and Forums Directory