We have just popped the bubble in a $300 live bird at Borgata. There are ~75 people left and we are at 10k/20k, 3k when this hand goes down. UtG is a reg who is well known to hero and he has approximately 600k in his stack to start the hand. Hero is in co with 925k and is double avg stack prob top 8 in chips. Sb had ~900k to start hand and is a fairly active younger semi-reg who can take aggressive lines and can get out of line a bit
UTG opens to 45k @ 10/20k, hero in co flats open with A
J
, sb completes and we go 3 way to J
7
4
flop. X's to hero in co and I lead for 65k into 182k pot. sb now check raises to 180k. utg folds and its on hero... our play?
Hero flats and we see a 6
turn. utg now leads for 365k.
Does he only have 44 or 77 here? or can he be semi bluffing with 65s or somehow 10
9
or 9
8
. Or possible getting out of line with KJs or QJs. Where as we've seen him opening wide pre and taking aggressive lines this seems to be way out of line to commit himself here with anything but a set. Other thing to consider levels are only 30m and the tourney is fairly shallow as CL for the tournament has ~1.4m and only 70bbs.
fold or shove seem like only two options?