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High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of high stakes MTT hands and techniques

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Old 06-18-2012, 09:55 AM   #1
grinder
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Rosario,Argentina
Posts: 687
Sunday Million. KQ on SB

PokerStars - $100+$7.50|4000/8000 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BB: 107,840.00
UTG: 77,597.00
UTG+1: 572,992.00
MP: 201,918.00
MP+1: 336,949.00
LP: 84,204.00
CO: 173,680.00
BTN: 129,075.00
Hero (SB): 165,042.00

BB posts ante 800.00, UTG posts ante 800.00, UTG+1 posts ante 800.00, MP posts ante 800.00, MP+1 posts ante 800.00, LP posts ante 800.00, CO posts ante 800.00, BTN posts ante 800.00, Hero posts ante 800.00, Hero posts SB 4,000.00, BB posts BB 8,000.00

Pre Flop: (19200.00) Hero has Q K

fold, UTG+1 raises to 16,080.00, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 164,242.00 and is all-in

Villain is 35/25 but only 20 hands. He had a huge stack because he won 1 all in with AA agaisnt 2 opponents who both had AK a few hands ago. The previous hand he raise too and I called in the BB with JTs. The flop was 9 9 Q, I donk, he raised and I thought I didn't have much fold equity to shove,given the stacks, so I folded. Now he is raising again and I think he is doing it because of his stack. I have KQ, so is less likely for him to have AQ/AK or KK. I don't think that he would call lighly because I'm raising his early position raise and I'm not desperate to make a move either so I'm representing a lot of strenght. Even if I do get call, I still have a decent hand. What do you think about the shove? Do you think that I'm risking too much to increase 1/5 my stack?
leproso88 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-18-2012, 10:11 AM   #2
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 24,925
Re: Sunday Million. KQ on SB

Donk bet/ fold JTs on Q99 flop is awful. The play is to c/r and get allin. Your equity against his raising range isn't that great, but he is going to appear to miss this flop a lot, and semibluffing seems like only way to play it. Flat from BB I think is standard, but bad if you misplay postflop that badly.

He needs to be opening awfully light in ep for KQo push to be good. It is possible he is with his big stack. KQo push might be standard against a loosish mid to late position raiser.
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Old 06-18-2012, 02:37 PM   #3
centurion
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: In the tank
Posts: 121
Re: Sunday Million. KQ on SB

It's less likely he's light here because of the stacksizes at your table.
EagleEYE19 is offline   Reply With Quote

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