Warning/Disclaimer: might not be very interesting for some/low(er) content.
Won't spend too much time on pre...good hand, plays well against a flatting range and can cont. vs a 3bet, etc.
Was asking what a buddy of mine (good mid stakes cash pro) thought of my flop play. Obv play is to just call, so I knew he wouldn't really like it for (some) good reasons. I have (some) defensible reasons for 3betting the flop and for cbet sizing. Our hist is I show him lines where I depart from std/gto strat in MTTs (sometimes for valid reasons) which he usually frowns upon.
Predictably, he said he 'prob wouldn't 3bet the flop' and then he mentioned something that I didn't ever consider...that he would "pbb fold turn." I'm not that well-versed in chat abbrev, so I scrambled to look up "pbb" thinking it meant "probably never," or something to that effect. It did not. Once we verified that we were indeed discussing the same hand, a spirited discussion followed. There were assumptions RE:vill bluff frequency and whether our hand was a bluffcatcher. I was forced to wield the ultimate weapon of mass destruction (Pio) in an effort to prove my contention that folding was somewhere btwn insane and lol.
My assumptions: Vill c/r freq would be very low and would not be properly adjusted/expanded as a counter-strat to the small/high freq cbet. I thought vill c/r range would be various FD's and 2pr with virtually none of the "bluff" combos that u might see in a Pio sim.
I thought that vill could and would shove worse ott for value and therefore contended that our hand wasn't a bluffcatcher.
Cash Pro's assumptions: Vill would "have worse for value < 5% of the time" and vill's bluff freq "is like 5% or less." To reinforce his point he added, "there's no facking way he shoves turn with two pairs man." His contention was that the only worse hand he shoves for value/protection is TT (combos of which I would significantly discount.) I reminded him that this was an MTT, with the majority of the entrants being MTT players.
Looking at the HH again, I think it could be reasonable to flat TT here (if u weren't a 3bet happy aggtard like me.)
The hand is from the HR on ACR...no reads on vill, I didn't have any notes and didn't recall seeing him in the HR prior.
(If) I'm the one that's insane, it may be a relief and I can pbb deal with it, although I would have to run good to afford the therapy, so flame away.
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 100/200 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP+1: 9,500 (VPIP: 10.66, PFR: 6.56, 3Bet Preflop: 8.16, Hands: 122)
Hero (CO): 16,058
BTN: 24,903 (VPIP: 24.67, PFR: 16.16, 3Bet Preflop: 6.65, Hands: 982)
SB: 2,364 (VPIP: 14.81, PFR: 3.70, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 27)
BB: 9,600 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
UTG: 10,167 (VPIP: 19.28, PFR: 16.05, 3Bet Preflop: 7.32, Hands: 83)
UTG+1: 4,423 (VPIP: 19.19, PFR: 14.12, 3Bet Preflop: 8.65, Hands: 701)
MP: 15,490 (VPIP: 25.31, PFR: 16.50, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 804)
SB posts SB 100,
BB posts BB 200
Pre Flop: (pot: 300) Hero has A
A
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 475,
fold,
fold,
BB calls 275
Flop: (1,050, 2 players) T
Q
A
BB checks,
Hero bets 365,
BB raises to 999,
Hero raises to 2,875,
BB calls 1,876
Turn: (6,800, 2 players) 4
BB bets 6,250 and is all-in,
Hero calls 6,250