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I suppose Ill take a serious crack at this thread although I feel like its a long extended joke and assani will jump out of my closet and say I been punked.
Not at all, thanks for the serious reply. I've gotten so many joke replies that its nice to get the discussion back on track.
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Pre I dont mind the call especially live where you likely have a much better feel for your opponents tendencies and can exploit them more easily than multitabling online.
agreed completely for all the reasons that I've already said. Even if this is a mistake, its a small one at 400 chips.
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flop Check seems like the best play by far. With the LP playre being the only left to act and the fact that you have labeled him weak tight, it seems that two good things can happen. 1.he checks behind and you get a chance to pick up a big draw on the turn. 2. He bets, everyone folds and you are presented a very good oppurtunity to bluff. Given your description of him, he would have reraised pre with QQ+ and maybe TT,JJ. He also is very likely to fold to your check raise on the turn with one pair such as AJ because he is a player that sees monsters and will decide you have an overpair or a set, he cant put you on a draw as there are no real draws on the board. He wont have two pair here given that those combinations are not hands that he would call pre with. This leaves your play working everytime unless he has 22, 77, or JJ, which overall is pretty unlikely. All this equals a profitable bluff oppurtunity.
Wow, I love this point. I don't think we've discussed checking with the intent of check raise bluffing on the flop, but it certainly is an interesting option. Would you still try it if LP bet and one of the other guys flat called? If he bets 1/2 pot, then how much do you raise?
I'd love to hear some others' thoughts here.
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Turn Seems like a terrible spot to bet. Just check and pray LP checks behind so you get a chance to hit that gutterball.
agreed. I think pretty much everyone has agreed here too.
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River game over, the pot isnt yours to win. Given the action a bet here will get called pretty light. For example UTG easily could have KK here. Betting here is spewwwww.
You really think he checks the flop with KK?