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Nightly 162 - 15 remaining A8o facing aggro min-raise Nightly 162 - 15 remaining A8o facing aggro min-raise

04-27-2015 , 01:35 AM
Push or fold?

What does Nash say?

Villain is a solid player, raising about 25% of the time. Most of his raises are from UTG and UTG+1. His fold to 3bet is 33% over 52 hands. He had min raised and snap-folded from the BTN when I was SB and shoved (also with A8o). Table (and this tournament as a whole) is generally tight. I've been below average throughout and been riding the red zone, and deep red zone for the majority of my late registration. I was able to get the folds I wanted by shoving a red zone stack from the CO or better. Unlike the Turbos, people don't play push-and-pray, even when the stack sizes dictate.

I feel like folding this I could have lasted longer and picked a better spot to double up / build up uncontested.

What range do we need here if we're strictly playing repush/fold against a player in that seat.

    Poker Stars, $150 Buy-in (1,000/2,000 blinds, 250 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #36145381

    Hero (SB): 29,857 (14.9 bb)
    BB: 22,896 (11.4 bb)
    MP1: 168,235 (84.1 bb)
    MP2: 15,623 (7.8 bb)
    MP3: 94,645 (47.3 bb)
    CO: 69,185 (34.6 bb)
    BTN: 89,192 (44.6 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 8 A
    2 folds, MP3 raises to 4,000, 2 folds,
    Spoiler:
    Hero raises to 29,607 and is all-in, BB folds, MP3 calls 25,607

    Flop: (62,964) T 2 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    Turn: (62,964) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    River: (62,964) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

    Results: 62,964 pot
    Final Board: T 2 3 J 8
    Hero showed 8 A and lost (-29,857 net)
    MP3 showed Q Q and won 62,964 (33,107 net)



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    04-27-2015 , 12:10 PM
    I like folding here, if he was btn I think I snap jam, but as hj, I'm folding.
    04-27-2015 , 05:49 PM
    Nash doesn't say anything but this is a fold vs HJ.
    04-27-2015 , 11:03 PM
    What range do we need to reshove here?

    Something like 77/A9s/ATo/KJs ?
    04-30-2015 , 03:33 AM
    I think u can shove A8suited fold A8o but there are circumstances where I'll shove A8o but I'll need a strong read he's opening super wide in this spot don't know much about the villain but on paper it actually looks like a good spot for him to open wide now if u know he's aware this is a good spot to open really wide then I'd consider ripping it in but I'll need a lot more info if I'm gonna rip in a marginal hand like this for my tournament life so based on the info u giving me I just fold there's better ways to chip up
    04-30-2015 , 10:52 PM
    Thanks.

    The main reason(s) I shipped is that my M was 6.0 and my stack rank was just 10th. So doing absolutely nothing for a few orbits guarantees me a measly $140 and puts me way below average. Like, forced to make -EV decision later to protect against the blinds kind, before even making the final table.
    04-30-2015 , 10:54 PM
    We are about 40% against a {33+,A5s+,KTs+,QTs+,A9o+,KJo+} range. Villain might fold the tail-end of his range there.
    05-01-2015 , 09:07 AM
    easy fold with 15 left

          
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