History:
Richard Lee is in mid position. Had been raising, cbetting variety of flops. Chipped up to 35-40k
UTG: aggressive pre-flop player. Plays a variety of hands. Knows when to get away from a hand. Saw player bluff several times in a variety of spots and was called down. Player had 35K ish.
Very meh river decision. Don't see a clear winner between call vs fold (3rd option being sick river bluff, but we probably only rep A2hh/A3hh).
Feel like checking the turn caps our river range, so that RL knows we almost never have a 2pair+ hand (I mean, if you had AQ/44/A4, checking the turn seems really bad to me...), which makes it a lot easier to pull the trigger on a river bluff. It feels like most competent Villain's would perceive our river range as being Ax at best, which is exactly what we happen to have. I dunno, when it seems really close like this, I pretty much just ask myself, if Villain knew I had this type of hand, would he expect me to call or fold?
Want to call. Villain's line seems a little weird.
Villain's turn check is interesting because he should be betting most made hands for value (AQ, 44, AA+QQ rarely) given the action and the board. I could see it though with AJ, and AK sometimes, for pot control.
Hero's perceived calling range OTR seems pretty narrow given his flat preflop and his own turn check. Only something like AT-AJs (which may fold to river bet), A3s+A2s rarely, and nutted hands rarely.