Lets look at the best case scenario for your AA.
Best case scenario is that you have A
A
vs someone's A
7
hand.
Poker stove puts ahead 96%
Quote:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
1,712,304 games 0.000 secs 342,460,800 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win
Hand 0: 93.643% { AcAd }
Hand 1: 06.357% { As7c }
Now lets look at the math of your situation. 38 people remaining, 37 get a seat. If everyone had identical stacks then your odds for getting a seat are 37/38 = 97%
97% > 93% so you fold AA.
Truth is, stacks are not equal so your odds for getting a seat are more like 99%.
For the sake of argument, lets say you are in the BB, everyone folds and the small blind shows you A7o and shoves for 7bb, you should still fold your AA.
There is absolutely, no reason to play and if you do something ******ed like shove UTG some short stack with 22-KK will call you and you will be 80/20 flip and 80% is a lot lower than 99%
just fold. Don't even bother looking at your hand. Just fold 100% of everything.