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Old 06-22-2012, 02:34 AM   #1
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Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

Appreciate any thoughts on this - both flop & turn?
Soft Live Tournament. $550 Buy in. 120 entrants. 13 left. 12 paid. On the bubble.
Playing 6 Handed. Blinds 1500/3000/300a. I have 110k. Villain covers and is top 3 in chips.
Hero image is prob capable TAGy? Villain is good, and recently made a big river call w A high and won.

I raise JT in the Cut Off to 6k. Villain calls OTB

Flop: J Q 6

I c/call 8k.

Turn: T

I check. Villain bets 10k into around $30k

Thoughts? Thanks in advance.
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Old 06-22-2012, 02:42 AM   #2
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Re: Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

Would call and re-eval river... but I prob ck/call river, too, almost all the time, since he likely will only bet river (assuming no paired board) for value with Ah or Kh (maybe not even Kh after you call him twice) or exactly 8h9h... so you show down 2-pair a lot for the price of the turn bet, and if he does bet river he gets really polarized & much of the time it's a bluff/hand he turned into bluff.

Exception: some major live tell... like if he pots river and looks super-strong or something, I guess you just put him on the Ah and toss it, but this is obv uncommon.
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Old 06-22-2012, 07:33 AM   #3
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Re: Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

just bet the flop and make your life easier. yeah i know, kinda turns ur hand into a bluff and is never good to get called... but with three hearts on the flop, it will be hell playing this OOP against a good player.

on the turn im c/folding even tho his range is superpolarized, too much guessing game. ur range has a gazillion of hearts with showdown value when u raise pre and check/call this flop. he should know this.
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Old 06-22-2012, 08:02 AM   #4
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Re: Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

Call and call if he bets big on the river, fold if he bets small.
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Old 06-22-2012, 08:21 AM   #5
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Re: Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

Normally I would call turn and re-eval river depending on his bet size.
But I wouldn't take such a gamble @ bubbel and c/f turn.
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Old 06-22-2012, 11:33 AM   #6
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Re: Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

i just think with the way you played it, villain will obviously bet a wet flop when you check it to him....maybe he thinks you will just c/f flop like this on the bubble...he could be running his hand into a bluff pretty easily...i think i have to c/call turn and river giving the right price
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Old 06-22-2012, 12:02 PM   #7
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Re: Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

Call. Sooooooo many river cards will kill the action and you may get to show-down.
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Old 06-22-2012, 01:01 PM   #8
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Re: Live $550 Turned 2 pair on v wet board OOP

If he bets the river you lose. He's not going to bluff off a huge bet on the river on a board like this against someone who c/calls twice.

Call the turn and see if he shuts down. My guess is he has the 9h or 8h with like 89 or 910 or some silly hand like that. Maybe even K10 with the Kh or something.

He'd be insane to try to bluff this river without a heart against your line.

Your only hope on the river, imo at least, is that he checks and gives up and you win.
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