did not have pokertracker working for this tournament but we are 2 spots away from the money in Turbo 109...
villian has been abusing the bubble as he should be with his stack size, it wasnt every hand he was playing but 1/3 of his hands were opened for min raises from any random position...
Our image is much tighter and we always showed up with the goods on this table, but even still doesnt he call us with his entire range
I know we are massively ahead of his range but doesnt ICM tell us to snap fold this like all day? need your help here pros.
my friend who was sweating me thought I was insane for tank folding and securing a cash.
Hand 1) get this in 100% of the time
Hand 2) if we are 2 spots off the money fold
Hand 3) probably fine unless villain was an absolute nit, we can still get in the money pretty easy it seems with losing this hand
sorry second hand we just peirced the bubble and was dealt A6 off early position....
going back to the first hand, with pocket tens lets say BB calls us all day... doesnt ICM say this is a clear fold through hyper aggressive big stack? for instance Big stack opeing about 40% of his range yet stove says were about 67 percent to win. over that range?
I dont know if this is a clear shove, even if big stack folds SOME of the time. still think its bad to get it in 2 from the money..
I dont understand how you guys say hand 1 is easy ship? like my heads exploding right now...
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 63.610% 63.16% 00.45% 368779258 2635536.00 { TcTd }
Hand 1: 36.390% 35.94% 00.45% 209845334 2635536.00 { 55+, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
above is the stove of his calling range... I would say its a little more expansive then that, but regardless his open to 1600 would put the pot at 3500.. my shove over the top to of that would put the pot at 11,482. It would be 6382 back to monster stack so virtually no fold equity whatsoever as hes getting JUST shy of 2-1. so if he was competent at all (obv which he was because he was abusing the bubble) he would call me here super super super light. which is fine but isnt the more profitable play here would be to fold? as we secure cashes more often then double up which puts us in better opportunity to win tournaments?
Wtf r u saying. who secures u a double up after folding. U got around 65% equity with good dead money u fkn have tt with 10 bb . Fk the bubble ship that shet 100%