Quote:
Originally Posted by CChinaman
Your combo BS is irrelevant, using logic is better here.
BTW, seems like you didn't read what I wrote.
Villains range is something like this not considering blockers assuming 25% bluffs (which makes sense with sizing):
25% bluff
15% boat
15% flush (50% blocked by Ac5c)
45% trips or straight
10,5k in the pot and we have 17k behind. If our only reraise size would be all-in villain needs to call ~38% including plenty of trips (straights don't block our potential value range). That strategy would make nutflush borderline check-shove for value if we did't have any other sizings but more importantly all boats would be clear valueshoves and also villains bet-call range seems so unrealistic that bluffing very wide is tempting. If villain calls only with boats and nutflushes (kind of "standard" I quess, but I would think people would like to be even tighter) bluff reshove makes 3,8k chips.
Question is if Hero should instead reraise smaller with all hands or use mixed ranges. Reraise to 8k with bluff would be very tempting. Villain would have to call 56% of the time meaning almost 50% of the calls made by hands weaker than flush. Again villains optimal strategy seems very loose and more standard ranges would have Hero winning heaps with bluffs.
In both cases Ac5c is part of balanced value range and in the case of small reraise it seems even good considering that many regulars refuse to leak seriously when facing river decision and after the fact you get reraised on that river many players can figure out they can't fold most QJ or Tx and opt to play somewhere between optimal and "feelgood" ranges.