Originally Posted by Steve Haris
Its definitely a call, but I think we might only be good around 50-60% of the time.
A more interesting/mindnumbing question is if we had AK in utgs shoes, do we value shove the river or....puke....feel like todd terry.....check/fold? really seems absurd idk what i'd do in game would have a lot to do with reads/feel....but ya...can't fold 333 is marginally more likely than AAA, AK some % not always and def a bluff small %....so I'm sick while calling off in the main event for sure....but can't fold...
also should add shoving turn is idiotic....lol where do you people get these ideas?
Yeah pretty much this.
There probably are people you can think about folding this against OP but I think you'd need a really specific read to justify it. Like you'd have to be certain the villain was competent and could hand read well to realise you're going to be taking a ridiculously strong range to the river here. Even then you'd have to be sure they still won't mistakenly value jam 33. Only you'll know best if that's the case.
I like that you're thinking about it and don't think it's a completely clear-cut snap call, but you do have to call given the (excellent) line you've taken.