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EPT Main day 2 ****ty river spot EPT Main day 2 ****ty river spot

08-26-2016 , 07:32 PM
Blinds 500/1000/100.
Open JcTc from UTG of 95BB, get one caller from the CO.
Flop is AhKhQc, we bet about 80% pot and CO quickly calls.
Reasoning for the big sizing is the fact that we block no value hands and there are tons of hands that will call this for basicly any sizing up to pot.
Turn is the 5h, we check and villain bets 11k.
River is another ace and the board now reads AhKhQc5hAd, we check to villain who bets 25k which is 70%ish pot.

What the **** do we make out of this? Would villain really bet two pair (0% of villain having a set) on the turn and would he really bet a flush otr once the board pairs?

Last edited by ChanY; 08-26-2016 at 07:56 PM.
08-26-2016 , 08:18 PM
iffy, I think we are safe to bet turn though, both for protection and value ofc. Given the Ah & Kh are already on the board, it reduces the amount of flushes villain could possibly have by a big margin. Not sure what to do now. Don't think villain bets AJ AT on the turn - and if they do - it usually would be for a smaller size. With how much did the CO start the hand? I'm not sure, I don't see many hands we beat, but we are fairly at the top of our range on the other hand. I think it's very dependent on what kind of player the CO is, and whether you think he bets a lot of one pairs on the turn? I guess he could sometimes turn QJ QT type of hands into a bluf if he is capable, but most people aren't. (also we block those)

To answer your questions: of course he would bet two pair on turn and flush on river, that's nto even a question imo. Also I think he could have some sets - if you are super deep - and a few shorties behind you. so would not totally exclude that either.

Last edited by LittleGoliath; 08-26-2016 at 08:24 PM.
08-26-2016 , 08:28 PM
Villain seemed bad, some kind of spanish/italian dude. He had me covered by about 10-15BB. Table seemed tight so I do not think he was trapping btn, sb or the bb.
08-26-2016 , 08:57 PM
Just bet the turn, fold now.
08-27-2016 , 01:49 AM
Flop is standard you can bet bigger too or x as you will have a big x region here
Turns whatever
River I'd likely go for like half pot/fold not much full h in v range but lots of worse hands
As played call and hope to see ax
08-30-2016 , 12:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuck Bass
Just bet the turn, fold now.
okay, hero bets turn, what happens on river?
08-30-2016 , 08:23 AM
JT without hearts would probably be near the bottom of your range of hands you get to this spot with so it's probably a fold unless your opponent is completely clueless.
08-30-2016 , 09:22 AM
Yeah, I feel like I should just fold against an idiot. Villain had A5 which isn't really relevant since I should be folding that river anyway. I am very low in my range and villain is bombing into a board that should have him crushed. This was actually my reasoning for calling, that the hand did not make very much sense but I should've just gone by my instincts and folded.
08-30-2016 , 11:53 AM
Turn is sometimes a fold versus decent opponents depending on a sizing, river is a fold versus everyone.
08-30-2016 , 12:06 PM
you are so funny mad1lee lmao
08-30-2016 , 02:53 PM
I think you played the turn fine. Anything villain has that's 2 pair or even TP with heart he might lead, he doesn't put you on a flush either after you check I would assume.

River is a fold, now a lot more hands beat you. Especially in an ABC table like the one you mentioned.

It just sucks flopping the nuts and folding it to a crap run out, I hear ya.
09-01-2016 , 04:33 AM
I would def bet the turn and x the ace river as well.

      
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