Quote:
Originally Posted by blackgall24
Not sure if it is a snap call. I'm more of a cash game player but from an ICM perspective is KQ definitely worth risking your tournament life? I 100% agree its a shove from basically anywhere on the table but calling vs even the top 73% of his range we are only a 60/40 favorite.
I think we need more info on the other stacks in the field and a basic ICM analysis, but don't think its clear cut.
ICM affects us much less here because we are one of the shortest stacks left in the tournament (14BB). Also ICM doesn't matter as much until the final table, since he pay jumps from 14th until the final table are not very significant compared to the money that is on top. In order to make the final table/deep run we are need to going to need to accumulate chips and you can't pass on huge edges like in this spot. If we are a "60/40" favorite that is a gigantic edge especially considering the dead money in the pot so we only need around 45% equity. Being 60/40 and only needing 45% equity means this is a 33% edge here, which is amazing considering we have <15BB. You are not gonna get a better spot than this.
Now if this was the final table with 6 people left and there were 2 stacks who had <5BB and we were still 4th in chips? Then it gets really close and probably a fold depending on the pay jumps. But here ICM isn't that significant a factor.