Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
a bit of a river predicament a bit of a river predicament

04-19-2014 , 05:20 PM
spot from the saturday 75 euro fo. villain is like 36/13/6 over a few orbits, hero has been aggro or w/e but hasn't done or shown anything cray cray, probably playing like 20/15 at that table

    IPoker, $69 Buy-in (125/250 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #25981351

    MP1: 5,079 (20.3 bb)
    MP2: 8,035 (32.1 bb)
    MP3: 24,833 (99.3 bb)
    CO: 2,105 (8.4 bb)
    BTN: 6,296 (25.2 bb)
    SB: 10,055 (40.2 bb)
    BB: 21,365 (85.5 bb)
    Hero (UTG+2): 17,425 (69.7 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with J A
    Hero raises to 550, MP1 calls 550, 5 folds, BB calls 300

    Flop: (1,975) 5 T 8 (3 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets 750, MP1 folds, BB calls 750

    Turn: (3,475) 6 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets 1,865, BB calls 1,865

    River: (7,205) K (2 players)
    BB bets 3,500, Hero




    Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.


    open to comments on all streets, obv
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    04-19-2014 , 08:42 PM
    Possible bluff combos. A2-4dd A6-7dd A9dd , QJ hh cc , Q9 hh cc ss, J9 hh cc , 67 hh cc, I guess he could also have A5ss AQss and 77 in his bluffs but doubtful.

    His value combos are KThhcc , K9dd KQss

    So if we don't think he ever check calls flop with diamonds + 2 overs or GS. And never check calls Turn with 97. He has 13 bluffs unless he turns pairs into bluffs then he has 5 more which you lose to. And 4 value combos. So I think you can call and show profit. If he is capable of turning his low pairs into bluffs. Then might have to raise or fold.
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    04-19-2014 , 08:45 PM
    Oh ****. I just noticed you gave stats well against a 36/13 his value range includes all KTo and maybe K8s also more likely to passivly play KQdd and KJdd so a lot more likely a fold

    Last edited by thetank72; 04-19-2014 at 08:56 PM.
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    04-20-2014 , 01:37 AM
    Why are we barreling off here? WE have one of the worst hands in our range to bet here, cant cbet 100% of range on T85dd 3way
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    04-20-2014 , 04:03 AM
    What hand is this type of player going to fold on a 6 turn on this board to a 55% pot bet? Im having trouble finding one.
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    04-20-2014 , 04:44 AM
    Check flop check turn. What's his AF? I think we see pittsy value combos and pittsy bluffs more than pittsy blocking bets, so I wouldn't shove.
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    04-20-2014 , 07:23 AM
    ok i'm not gonna defend any of my plays in the hand because in retrospect i dislike my decision to cbet/barrel since i have decent SD value and a flop that isnt getting a whole lot of folds very often, and i hesitated to shove the river because i thought Tx was a decent part of his range for this and thought it was dicey as to whether he'd fold

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by charder30
    What hand is this type of player going to fold on a 6 turn on this board to a 55% pot bet? Im having trouble finding one.
    you don't think he folds KJ/QJ/KQ/Ax/45s/etc? are you implying that i could bet like >2.2k to actually accomplish FE for those hands, or are you just calling me a dolt for the plan to barrel the turn in the first place?
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    04-20-2014 , 08:48 AM
    I dont get that double. Thats not a bad card for his range probably
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    02-27-2017 , 09:58 PM
    lol DONKaments forever and always
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    02-27-2017 , 10:49 PM
    boy i used to hate giving up sometimes
    a bit of a river predicament Quote
    03-01-2017 , 10:18 AM
    check the flop
    a bit of a river predicament Quote

          
    m