Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of high stakes MTT hands and techniques

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 05-09-2017, 09:48 AM   #1
spand42
grinder
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 650
$215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

I'm usually a small/mid stakes player but taking some shots at SCOOP stuff. Villain is a decent reg.

I'm not 100% sure about any of my postflop decisions. I didn't think that villain would likely be x/raising any Ax hands on the flop (maybe two pair?) but I felt like his value hands are mainly going to be sets with some bluffs to balance this out e.g. flush draws, weird low straight draws.

Should I just fold turn to the large sizing as there might be some reversed implied odds?

I really wasn't sure what to do on this river. My hand has a tiny bit of showdown value vs worse flush draws or gutshots that have now decided to give up. If he did have A7 or A3, that's now counterfeited and I might get those to fold with a shove.





    Poker Stars, $200 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37722194

    MP3: 25,505 (127.5 bb)
    CO: 5,153 (25.8 bb)
    Hero (BTN): 31,645 (158.2 bb)
    SB: 18,932 (94.7 bb)
    BB: 24,419 (122.1 bb)
    UTG+1: 21,979 (109.9 bb)
    UTG+2: 15,593 (78 bb)
    MP1: 20,734 (103.7 bb)
    MP2: 17,704 (88.5 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with J Q
    6 folds, Hero raises to 420, SB folds, BB calls 220

    Flop: (1,165) A 3 7 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets 480, BB raises to 1,700, Hero calls 1,220

    Turn: (4,565) K (2 players)
    BB bets 4,500, Hero calls 4,500

    River: (13,565) K (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero ??




    Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.
    spand42 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-10-2017, 05:31 AM   #2
    OutPlayU27
    old hand
     
    OutPlayU27's Avatar
     
    Join Date: May 2013
    Posts: 1,524
    Re: $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    Turn is close, now I will tank and bet 1/2 pot , don't think we have showdown value.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    OutPlayU27 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-11-2017, 01:49 PM   #3
    2MuchLuckWillKillU
    enthusiast
     
    Join Date: Nov 2010
    Posts: 92
    Re: $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    bb's range looks a lot like counterfeited 2 pair maybe fd that gives up .

    your range looks like strong Ax /33/77 with maybe some combodraws like 56h/jqh

    when your range is very value heavy theoretically a small sizing should get it done on the river but people are too much of a station generally .

    Would love to see what others think .
    2MuchLuckWillKillU is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-11-2017, 03:00 PM   #4
    onehandatatime
    adept
     
    Join Date: Oct 2015
    Location: Sens nation
    Posts: 1,113
    Re: $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    don't see much SDV here. That turn bet looks like a bet to get you off any draws, the check OTR does look a lot like counterfeited 2 pair. Question is how much do you have to bet for them to fold? Since we are still deep I think a 3/4 or psb might do it, really depends on villain and if they are a station.
    onehandatatime is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-13-2017, 02:33 AM   #5
    lolposting2016
    adept
     
    Join Date: Aug 2016
    Posts: 788
    Re: $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    All in is ur only size otr half pot reps basically nothing ax isn't betting
    lolposting2016 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-13-2017, 02:34 AM   #6
    lolposting2016
    adept
     
    Join Date: Aug 2016
    Posts: 788
    Re: $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    Or check
    lolposting2016 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-13-2017, 06:26 AM   #7
    OutPlayU27
    old hand
     
    OutPlayU27's Avatar
     
    Join Date: May 2013
    Posts: 1,524
    $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by lolposting2016 View Post
    All in is ur only size otr half pot reps basically nothing ax isn't betting


    Quote:
    Originally Posted by lolposting2016 View Post
    Or check


    I agree, but when we shove we basically saying we have 33,77 and AA (yeah AK but highly unlikely since are 2 Kx on the board ) so yeah pretty narrow range.
    What do we do w/ AQ, AJ ? Check? (Not saying we should always bet, either that we should always check)
    Prob in Sunday Million we shouldn't really be balanced and all, but having two betsizingz here is cool, so we should bluff some bet for value some ( if he folds like 25% of time we're printing, is a ruff guess tho)


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    OutPlayU27 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-13-2017, 08:56 AM   #8
    heyim9k
    newbie
     
    heyim9k's Avatar
     
    Join Date: Jan 2013
    Posts: 39
    Re: $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    does Kxhh check river?
    heyim9k is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-13-2017, 09:24 AM   #9
    OutPlayU27
    old hand
     
    OutPlayU27's Avatar
     
    Join Date: May 2013
    Posts: 1,524
    $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by heyim9k View Post
    does Kxhh check river?


    Yeah, forgot about that combo, I thought K on board was of K❤️


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

    Last edited by OutPlayU27; 05-13-2017 at 09:26 AM. Reason: But do we shove?
    OutPlayU27 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 05-15-2017, 11:29 PM   #10
    lolposting2016
    adept
     
    Join Date: Aug 2016
    Posts: 788
    Re: $215 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by OutPlayU27 View Post
    I agree, but when we shove we basically saying we have 33,77 and AA (yeah AK but highly unlikely since are 2 Kx on the board ) so yeah pretty narrow range.
    What do we do w/ AQ, AJ ? Check? (Not saying we should always bet, either that we should always check)
    Prob in Sunday Million we shouldn't really be balanced and all, but having two betsizingz here is cool, so we should bluff some bet for value some ( if he folds like 25% of time we're printing, is a ruff guess tho)


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    That's the point when you are bluffing and have smaller amount of value Kim is and bunch of bluffs you want largest sizing
    lolposting2016 is offline   Reply With Quote

    Reply
          

    Thread Tools
    Display Modes

    Posting Rules
    You may not post new threads
    You may not post replies
    You may not post attachments
    You may not edit your posts

    BB code is On
    Smilies are On
    [IMG] code is On
    HTML code is Off


    Forum Jump


    All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:27 PM.


    Powered by vBulletin®
    Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
    Search Engine Optimisation provided by DragonByte SEO v2.0.33 (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2017 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.
    Copyright ę 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive
     
     
    Poker Players - Streaming Live Online