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5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws 5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws

05-09-2017 , 09:48 AM
I'm usually a small/mid stakes player but taking some shots at SCOOP stuff. Villain is a decent reg.

I'm not 100% sure about any of my postflop decisions. I didn't think that villain would likely be x/raising any Ax hands on the flop (maybe two pair?) but I felt like his value hands are mainly going to be sets with some bluffs to balance this out e.g. flush draws, weird low straight draws.

Should I just fold turn to the large sizing as there might be some reversed implied odds?

I really wasn't sure what to do on this river. My hand has a tiny bit of showdown value vs worse flush draws or gutshots that have now decided to give up. If he did have A7 or A3, that's now counterfeited and I might get those to fold with a shove.





    Poker Stars, $200 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37722194

    MP3: 25,505 (127.5 bb)
    CO: 5,153 (25.8 bb)
    Hero (BTN): 31,645 (158.2 bb)
    SB: 18,932 (94.7 bb)
    BB: 24,419 (122.1 bb)
    UTG+1: 21,979 (109.9 bb)
    UTG+2: 15,593 (78 bb)
    MP1: 20,734 (103.7 bb)
    MP2: 17,704 (88.5 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with J Q
    6 folds, Hero raises to 420, SB folds, BB calls 220

    Flop: (1,165) A 3 7 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets 480, BB raises to 1,700, Hero calls 1,220

    Turn: (4,565) K (2 players)
    BB bets 4,500, Hero calls 4,500

    River: (13,565) K (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero ??




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    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-10-2017 , 05:31 AM
    Turn is close, now I will tank and bet 1/2 pot , don't think we have showdown value.


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    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-11-2017 , 01:49 PM
    bb's range looks a lot like counterfeited 2 pair maybe fd that gives up .

    your range looks like strong Ax /33/77 with maybe some combodraws like 56h/jqh

    when your range is very value heavy theoretically a small sizing should get it done on the river but people are too much of a station generally .

    Would love to see what others think .
    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-11-2017 , 03:00 PM
    don't see much SDV here. That turn bet looks like a bet to get you off any draws, the check OTR does look a lot like counterfeited 2 pair. Question is how much do you have to bet for them to fold? Since we are still deep I think a 3/4 or psb might do it, really depends on villain and if they are a station.
    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-13-2017 , 02:33 AM
    All in is ur only size otr half pot reps basically nothing ax isn't betting
    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-13-2017 , 02:34 AM
    Or check
    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-13-2017 , 06:26 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by lolposting2016
    All in is ur only size otr half pot reps basically nothing ax isn't betting


    Quote:
    Originally Posted by lolposting2016
    Or check


    I agree, but when we shove we basically saying we have 33,77 and AA (yeah AK but highly unlikely since are 2 Kx on the board ) so yeah pretty narrow range.
    What do we do w/ AQ, AJ ? Check? (Not saying we should always bet, either that we should always check)
    Prob in Sunday Million we shouldn't really be balanced and all, but having two betsizingz here is cool, so we should bluff some bet for value some ( if he folds like 25% of time we're printing, is a ruff guess tho)


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    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-13-2017 , 08:56 AM
    does Kxhh check river?
    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-13-2017 , 09:24 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by heyim9k
    does Kxhh check river?


    Yeah, forgot about that combo, I thought K on board was of K❤️


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    Last edited by OutPlayU27; 05-13-2017 at 09:26 AM. Reason: But do we shove?
    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote
    05-15-2017 , 11:29 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by OutPlayU27
    I agree, but when we shove we basically saying we have 33,77 and AA (yeah AK but highly unlikely since are 2 Kx on the board ) so yeah pretty narrow range.
    What do we do w/ AQ, AJ ? Check? (Not saying we should always bet, either that we should always check)
    Prob in Sunday Million we shouldn't really be balanced and all, but having two betsizingz here is cool, so we should bluff some bet for value some ( if he folds like 25% of time we're printing, is a ruff guess tho)


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    That's the point when you are bluffing and have smaller amount of value Kim is and bunch of bluffs you want largest sizing
    5 Sunday Million - River decision with busted draws Quote

          
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