|
Re: 215 - 2 pair on bad turn
If he's got a narrow range then you can setmine midpairs and flat some suited connectors and things and maybe like suited aces and stuff, but if I'm gonna play the hand I'd frequently 3bet unless you think his range is so narrow that most of the hands he isos with he 4bets, but I doubt that's the case. Also a lot of players have really ****ty 4bet sizing if you make it like 333 they will usually 4b around 9xx with really big hands which is horrible and you can just flat. If he's good and will 4b to a bigger size generally then flatting those types of hands is ok.
Right now I figure his range is probably AQ/KQ/JQ, AA, KK, flushdraws that got there, QQ, maybe once in awhile a JJ/TT type hand, maybe some hands like 56 or 67 that are calling your raise to bomb into you on rivers if you check back turn after raising flop.
So, there are 3 QxXc combos and 12 AA/KK combos that you are ahead of that will call a turn bet, and 3 QcXc combos and maybe something like 5-10 other flush combos depending on whether you're right about his range, and 5 set combos. Maybe some random bluffs or JJs in there once in awhile, and since his worse hands have more equity against your hand than your hand does against his better hands (on campus, dont have stove) your equity against his range is probably somewhere around 40-55%, and both of you are going to improve sometimes but not THAT much.
I'd probably check back turn, and pot or even overbet safe rivers if checked to, almost always call a bet if led into on rivers that are not a club, queen, ace or king. If river is a club, ace, king or jack and I'm checked to, I'd probably bet like 1/4 pot and soul read if I get xr'd.
idk though, I'm just doing this bored in a review session, not really thinking about it that deeply
|