Hey All,

This hand happened last week...

Thoughts on spot much appreciated.

Not a lot of hands on villains (30,46) so no real reads.

BTN turn betting range when checked too?

value : 33,77,1010,QQ,KK,AA(all of these combos get to turn a <100% of the time as a decent % of the time the hands take different line)

Only bluff i can see is 89ss but after picking up the pair on the turn i can see this hand being checked back decent % of the time.

BB flatting range: TP, Pair plus gutter type hands

Do we just flat turn here and hope to showdown, fold to any bets on river unless we improve?



PokerStars Hand #160168133687: Tournament #1696733407, $100+$100+$15 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIX (1400/2800) - 2016/10/20 0:43:13 CET [2016/10/19 18:43:13 ET]
Table '1696733407 56' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: MacMayer69 (154957 in chips)
Seat 2: Maveric*987 (71068 in chips)
Seat 3: engantil (98208 in chips)
Seat 4: Pokerl)eviL (109813 in chips)
Seat 5: comegethappy (95919 in chips)
Seat 6: AJMO-IDEMO (46136 in chips)
Seat 7: danger0us (108063 in chips)
Seat 8: ginoven (15891 in chips)
Seat 9: UEUEFRANGE (111069 in chips)

engantil: posts small blind 1400
Pokerl)eviL: posts big blind 2800
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to comegethappy [Js Jc]
comegethappy: raises 3808 to 6608
AJMO-IDEMO: folds
danger0us: folds
ginoven: folds
UEUEFRANGE: folds
MacMayer69: calls 6608
Maveric*987: folds
engantil: folds
Pokerl)eviL: calls 3808
*** FLOP *** [7h 3s Tc]
Pokerl)eviL: checks
comegethappy: bets 8547
MacMayer69: calls 8547
Pokerl)eviL: calls 8547
*** TURN *** [7h 3s Tc] [8s]
Pokerl)eviL: checks
comegethappy: checks
MacMayer69: bets 16800
Pokerl)eviL: calls 16800
comegethappy: ???

I would start by betting bigger on the flop. I think the cold callers flop calling range isn't going to change much if we bet 50% and there are a lot of hands he will call with that we are doing really well against. I check turn also and I think it's fine to overcall. I reckon our hand is going to have enough equity against their ranges and I don't expect them to be so nutted because of the sizing. I would expect population to just bet bigger with sets on this turn as it's now a pretty dynamic board.

Flop bet is too small


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I like your line, also betsizing on flop I like, not like we need much protection with our range here and we want to keep in pocket pairs and 7x type hands, no problem to keep in gutshot hands from bigblind either, this is actually a very good sizing giving board and ranges that also gives us still leverage on future streets. So dont agree with above comments.

Like your turn check as well and given action im calling turn most likely giving up to further river action. Definitely not a super comfortable spot anymore however bb can still have a bunch of Tx, 7x+fd type hands plus im expecting him to donklead a hand like T8 some plus expect him to checkraise sets alot too on turn as well as two pair sometimes. So cutoffs range is actually stronger to me than bigblinds. Simply because its harder to find worse hands than ours in his valuebetting range. But his sizing is super small here, to me such a sizing in a multi way pot with an aalready bloated pot means he is either super strong like set or better or he is blockbetting to buy himself a cheap river hoping it gets checked to him when he bets here.
Now I dont even think on this board now he would bet sets small like this given action and its very hard for him to have J9s given we have JJ and given we raised UTG. So thinking about this further, not even his bet is very concerning here. The problem is that we dont really get value from worse by raising, but cutoff and bb probably have decent amount of equity combined vs our hand.

Given all that I think its a pretty easy call on turn and I dont think there is any better alternative here. Expecting blank rivers to get checked through alot actually

what we could potentially do as alternative to call turn check river is donkleading river small on blanks ourselves, that should actually be even more ev than checking given what i said above. Highly doubt cutoff is going to bluffraise much. Bit more potential for the bigblind for that, as well as a bit more potential for him to have a straight or two pair but the frequencies of that i still see as very low for him. But def would consider this line too here, its an exploitative play though, as we dont really want to just checkcall alot of sets on turn given board and action. Its just that by now both their ranges actually seem pretty weak to me, so that on blank runouts im expecting us to have the best hand alot

Really good posts @cashid, pls post more

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