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Originally Posted by Nick Royale
At this point I don't think whether Aldo fights is in the hands of UFC or Aldo himself, he needs to be cleared by NSAC. If he's cleared he'll accept the fight either way because it's a huge pay-day.
I agree with this to an extent. I think there is a range of injury that exists where Aldo could get cleared by NSAC (varies depending on how much influence the UFC has over them threatening to haul the fight maybe?) but would rather postpone the fight til Sept/Oct to heal fully and not lose training days and would do so if given free reign, but not if he's pressured into it by threatening the Mendes fight.
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Mendes is the back-up because if Aldo drops out, McGregor will still fight for the interim belt and they can't make an interim belt fight vs anyone but Mendes or Edgar. I disagree Mendes is a tougher opponent than Edgar, but I think we can agree both are tough fights. Mendes makes some extra sense because there's already a grudge between them and probably easier to promote.
I agree that there isn't much difference between the two in terms of Conor's odds to beat them. I'm not sure how much the added little extra beef between Mendes and McGregor would play into it. It probably wouldn't affect sales much. It would **** over Frankie and that pisses people off. And it does put McGregor 3rd in line if he loses which makes it a lot more unlikely he ever gets the shot against Aldo at 145 again. And all that promo money is sunk.
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Making an interim belt might seem a bit lol, but at this point I'm willing to accept that interim belts are just promotional tools and I think it works to sell the fight to casual fans, so it's fine/whatever to me. If McGregor wins a "title unification fight" between him and Aldo would be a nice promotional touch when it happens. And if Aldo stays injured it's a good thing for promotion that McGregor can still go "title fights".
I accept it's part of the UFC model. But it only serves the purpose to build the hype machine. An interim belt vs Aldo is a bit ineffectual since Aldo won't be out long, Mendes and Edgar have recently fought him, and it won't hype the McGregor fight more. I don't know, it seems like if they were going the interim belt, Frankie was the way to go given the outcry over McGregor stealing his contender spot and it keeps McGregor in contention if he loses. If they didn't go that route they could have easily preserved McGregor by giving him a 155 fight or throwing him an easy win. The Mendes fight makes little sense for the UFC given the info we have. It makes a bit more sense if they want to pressure Aldo to fight.