A weird hand - what could villain have? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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A weird hand - what could villain have?

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04-15-2014 , 10:50 AM

nanpa

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 124

Villain is decent tag 25/7, 51% aggression

Merge, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #25842201

SB: $26.84 (107.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $30.46 (121.8 bb)
UTG: $24.95 (99.8 bb)
MP: $19.09 (76.4 bb)
CO: $10 (40 bb)
BTN: $7.79 (31.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7

UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, 2 folds, SB completes, Hero checks

Flop: ($0.75) 8

(3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.37, MP calls $0.37, SB calls $0.37

Turn: ($1.86) 2

(3 players)
SB bets $1.86, Hero calls $1.86, MP folds

River: ($5.58) 8

(2 players)
SB bets $5.58

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04-15-2014 , 11:05 AM

JPE23

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 1,517

Firstly, 25/7 isn't a decent tag...it's a passive fish. This is confirmed by him merely limping in the SB.

The turn either gave him some sort of trips (A2s perhaps), a boat (77-88), or he was slowplaying a hit flush (numerous). Either way, this doesn't look like a hand you can get away from without having reads.

If you're beat, it's by a bigger boat or quads so I'm guessing villain had 88 or 77. If I had to bet on it, I'd say 77.

Edit: I just watched this back on the replayer and it shows you folded. I think folding is pretty bad there. Just my opinion though.

Last edited by JPE23; 04-15-2014 at 11:10 AM.

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04-15-2014 , 11:48 AM

boredoo

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 306

I wouldn't fold this. What beats you?

8x. 77

What do you beat?

Any weird 2. 7x.. Any dumb pocket pair. Any random bluff. Any flopped flush.

I think you are ahead here most of the time.

He would call/slow-play the flush on the non-paired flop. He'd call an 8. He might even call his set if he has 7s, but why not c/r if he's as TAG as you say.

I'd call and laugh if I lost with a 27 boat.

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04-15-2014 , 01:56 PM

ScoopMonkey

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,910

I'd likely raise Turn but can understand a call if it's with the intention of trying to keep MP in (who's stack size looks fishy). Even so, I think I prefer a Turn raise as, if MP is fishy, we could even see cold-calls from him with, say, Adx.

Also, bigger on the flop.

As played, rivers a bit meh but I'm calling and not beating myself up too much if we're beat. I wouldn't expect him to take this line with, say, 8x too often so if that is true, we're beat by literally just 1 combo of 88 and 1 combo of 77.

Last edited by ScoopMonkey; 04-15-2014 at 02:06 PM.

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04-16-2014 , 12:09 AM

Dovidiu

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 4,419

I'm raising turn.

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