Im not sure how many of you are doing this at the moment but I assume a few are thinking the same way I was until a few months ago.
I used to think that 3-betting light was something that the 100NL+ guys needed to worry about, something that I would get flamed for even asking about at uNL.
However, watching some vids and general study has led me to the following conclusion.
3-Betting LP raises light at appropiate times is very very +EV at uNL
Typical Scenario:
100bb stacks.
You are in BB with 9

T

. (Your image is TAG)
Tag 14/7/2 type opens for 4bb from the CO.
SB folds.
Hero.....
I used to just fold here, thats better than calling. (OOP weak hand against an agressor).
There is a better play - raise it up!!!
Whats the TAGs range here? Well Im a TAG and unless I see manics/stations in the blinds I open any pair, A8+, any Axs, KQ+, suited broadways and some SCs and even worse if I see nitty blinds.
Thats a range of 25%+.
Now put yourself in the shoes of the villan and imagine your 3-bet. What hands do you really (I mean really) want to see a 3-bet from a fellow TAG?
Unless I have history or I know he gets jiggy from the blinds then Im only really happy with AA/KK (I did warn you Im a nit!).
AA/KK makes up 0.9% of hands which is ~3.7% of a ~25% opening range.
That means that the TAG you just 3-bet is happy, ~14.8% of the time, the rest he is probably a little nervous about AK, TT-QQ or just plain dissapointed that you have put him in a spot where he cant continue.
(OK we can argue whether he likes a re-raise with AK/QQ but you get the drift)
Lets say he re-raises you with AA/KK (3.7% of his range) and you fold.
He may get stubborn with 88+ AQ+ (16.8% of his range) and call to see what happens.
The remaining 80% of the time he folds (or calls with a marginal hand thats going to be -EV for him anyway)
Since your laying 3-1 you need to win only 75% to break even, above that is immeadiate profit!
The other 25% of the time your going to have to play some poker but you have the initiative in a big pot despite being OOP, uNL TAGs play straightforward in big pots so usually c-bet/shutdown does very well.
Some general points / caveats
- This stategy like any other
is exploitable (4-betting light, floating in position). I havnt seen many players at uNL take advantage though.
- Dont 3-bet manics or stations without at least some value to your hand.
- Postflop you should have the edge, they fold a lot more to c-bets than you would think.
- If your c-bet gets raised and you have something like a weak pair and few outs dont fall into the "he puts me on a steal" way of thinking. Big bets still mean big hands. This is not an excuse to forget fundementals such as REM and SPR.
- Drop the real trash like T2 and 64, its possibly still +EV since you can check/fold when called and still profit. However you risk tipping your opponent off if you do it every single time.
- Watch out for stack sizes. CMAR covered crushing shorties so refer to that post if the 20bb brigade are getting to you.
- The same theory obviously applies when you have the button and the CO opens. You have position to boot, it also doesnt look as obvious!
Throwing this out for discussion now.