SB: 79.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
BB: 98.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
UTG: 101 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
UTG+1: 158 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
MP: 108 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
MP+1: 108 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
Hero (CO): 98.5 BB
BTN: 136 BB (VPIP: 25.93, PFR: 15.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 54)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A
K
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 4 BB,
fold,
SB calls 3.5 BB,
fold
Flop: (9 BB, 2 players) K
3
4
SB bets 6 BB,
Hero calls 6 BB
Turn: (21 BB, 2 players) J
SB bets 10 BB,
Hero calls 10 BB
River: (41 BB, 2 players) Q
SB bets 59.5 BB and is all-in,
Hero calls 59.5 BB
SB shows Q
K
(Two Pair, Kings and Queens)
Hero shows A
K
(One Pair, Kings)
This is a new table and I'd never seen this guy before so I only have 3 hands on him and know little about him. I don't think he was going to fold on either the flop or turn if he has a king, I put him on KX or AA, so I didn't see a point in reraising. When he overbets the river I don't think he has a flush or straight so I'm not worried about that. Which only really leaves two pair or AA for hands that beat mine.
I know with a random range I have about 88% and I know that if he has KX,QQ, or AA I am still at 65%. Should I be able to find a fold from this position on the river or am I just losing my money there?