So there was a villain about tonight who was playing 75/72 with 66% 3bet over 32 hands. He was basically exploiting fish by isong and just betting until he was shown any resistance. Everytime someone raised he folded.

This brings me to this hand. I've gotten to the river with the very bottom of my range after bricking an up and down straight draw. It's a pretty bad spot to bluff which makes a pretty good spot to bluff if villain is thinking about the game, which I think he was.

A good time to release the clip?

Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 104.9 BB (VPIP: 16.44, PFR: 12.33, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 73)
Hero (BTN): 129 BB
SB: 89 BB (VPIP: 34.29, PFR: 2.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 35)
BB: 93.5 BB (VPIP: 17.95, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 40)
UTG: 127.4 BB (VPIP: 8.54, PFR: 3.66, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 83)
UTG+1: 283 BB (VPIP: 75.00, PFR: 71.88, 3Bet Preflop: 66.67, Hands: 32)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 14.19, PFR: 10.26, 3Bet Preflop: 6.20, Hands: 306)
MP+1: 131.7 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 36)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 5

fold, UTG+1 raises to 2.9 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.9 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.3 BB, 2 players) 6 8 J
UTG+1 bets 5.3 BB, Hero calls 5.3 BB

Turn: (17.9 BB, 2 players) 6
UTG+1 bets 17.1 BB, Hero calls 17.1 BB

River: (52.1 BB, 2 players) K
UTG+1 bets 37.1 BB, Hero raises to 103.7 BB and is all-in

river is really good for villain's range, you aren't jamming a flush here for value a lot of the time, you're raising your sets OTF, so you only rep here a busted draw or a nut backdoor flush.

As played, fold pre, if you wanna flat in the BTN, do it with 56s/67s, they're better than 1-gappers. Raise the flop and go from there.As played OTT, fold to his bet, you don't have odds to call and sometimes you can be drawing dead. If you think villain is doing it a lot with AK, then you can raise sometimes the turn. As played OTR, fold.

Clear fold pre.

??

Yeah 75/72 and thinking does not compute. Also not the player to bluff imo. If you wanna raise raise flop.

Don't hugely mind the call pre but would much rather do it with a good hand rather than a drawing hand. Just hit top pair against the guy and let him blow away his stack. With 75s you're just gonna get in tricky spots.

My thinking was if I raise the flop I miss out on 2 barrels from villain. I wasn't calling the turn just to hit my draw. I was fully intending on shipping any non board pairing card, a seven, a jack, a five or a heart.

Okay I had 57 this time but I can have 88 here, Ac6c, Ac8c, 9cTc, 5c7c, 7c9c TcQc and against this villain I probably wouldn't 3 bet JJ because I wouldn't want him to fold.

(EDIT) Although when thinking about it i'm not sure how many of those combos i'm shoving river with for value on a paired board.

I didn't add in OP that he also insta bet every street without any thought at all. Now I don't normally rely on timing tells due to most villains mass multi tabling but, he was one tabling and yeah, i mean you're going to have to think about it for a couple of seconds at least before you bet bet bet.. I've been known in the past insta bet bet bet OOP and most of the time when I do it without any thought I'm doing it with semi bluffs and Air..

But if you say he folds everytime when you raise then just raise with your straight draw and take it down? Why rely on having to hit?

I get that you can have very strong hands here but this is probably NOT a thinking player you're up against. He might have folded to resistance so far because he probably never or almost never had a decent hand. I think if he has a J or better you can bet he's calling. Which also means you should jam here with all hands better than trips probably.

JJ should be an obvious 3b preflop because this guy plays anything. Hell he might reraise with a lot of hands (66% 3b is probably huge even if sample is small or if noone was ever raising into him pre) and then JJ is an easy preflop allin vs a guy like this who will probably get it in with stuff like any pocket pair, any two broadway cards, maybe suited aces, etc.

Agree with the raise the flop crew. If he's doing this every hand why worry about missing 2 barrels of bluffs with this hand? Your just asking for him to make a genuine hand on you. Let him bluff off when you have a made hand.