Quote:
Originally Posted by dbdbdb
Hello hello,
I'm trying to plug some leaks, heres the first that I've come across. Any solutions?
My filter:
All PPs, VP$IP, at least called a 3bet:
Looks like set mining in 3bet pots isnt working out as well as I thought. I'm usually cautious about stack sizes when calling the 3bets, and often hope that they'll stack off in most cases. Does anyone have green numbers for this filter?
There is a little less than 12% chance you hit your set on the flop, so when you are purely set mining, you should anticipate to win at least 8 times the amount you paid preflop for it to be profitable. Of course, sometimes you will hit your set and everybody will fold. So you should increase that number to about 12-15.
So if the amount invested preflop will be more than 8% of your stack (or than villain remaining stack), fold it, specially if you are OoP. There is no shame in folding after getting 3bet when the situation isn't profitable.
Sure you can pull this number down under certain conditions. For example, if you got position and you expect that you can make villain fold post-flop when you don't hit your set, you can invest a bigger amount preflop.
On the other hand, if villain is a much better player than you, you need to invest a smaller amount because he won't pay you off often when you hit.
Search for the 5-10 rule for a better explanation.
EDIT : Wow just saw you had 100% VPIP, sure it has to be pretty high but do not play them everytime, mine is 93.1
Last edited by JimmyJack; 04-02-2009 at 07:07 PM.