Quote:
sorry, missed them. Your loss rates in the blinds are good if these are big blinds; if they are poker tracker big bets, you are leaking from the BB.
If these are big blinds, your win rate in EP is a bit on the low side, but basically ok, but your win rates in the CO and the button are too low. If these are poker tracker big bets, your CO win rate is a little low, but everything else looks ok.
My guess is that you are leaking some in late position by calling/limping behind with too many hands. Run some filters and see if this is the case. It explains your win rates being low if you posted big blinds/100 not ptbb/100, and it would explain your low W$WSF.
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Originally Posted by mpethybridge
The only other thing I can see without your win rates is that your W$WSF at 34% is significantly on the low side. Read post 489 to see if you are playing your blinds aggressively enough. If that sounds like you, then, in non-blind hands, you are giving up on too many pots. You really should be winning at least 37% W$WSF, and 40% is doable for solid TAgs.
Your VPIP?PFR are a bit too far apart, but it seems to be working for you, so I am not that concerned. But it may be related to your low W$WSF; if you are calling IP and then giving up when you miss the flop, this will drag down your W$WSF. You have to make an occasional play IP when you smell weakness from the pre flop raiser.
Well, I'm going to post an
extendedtldrtextwall update here. The original numbers were from mostly 10NL, I think (posted below, side-by-side, you don't have to search back for them), and these new ones are my 25NL results to date. I have theoretically improved overall, I think, although my blind play still needs work and I've loosened up a bit there, which might account for the lower win rate. But then again my overall winrate has plummeted since moving up so that might not be the cause (it's fairly in-step with my lower win rates in every other position). How do the actual VPIP rates look like for the blinds? I'm just not sure how many hands I should be playing there and how often I should be calling the extra 2bb from typical raises. Same with the SB.
Also I think my 3betting is too tight and 4betting too tight (basically never), especially since it's gone down now. Regarding that, what are good call 3bet rates? I'm calling a lot less now, which I think was a fairly large leak previously. Looking at hands where I call 3bets and I'm still -EV so I guess I could put a little work into either calling less or playing better postflop in those pots. Or calling more and playing a lot better? At any rate my 3bet hands need work. I just feel like I'm getting 3bet a LOT more often at 25NL than I was at 10NL, hence the lower call rate.
On the plus side, my W$WSF is right where you said it should be, and I'm floating more on the flop, plus my VPIP:PFR ratio has tightened a good bit, I'm playing even more positionally aware, and I'm stealing a lot more out of the SB and overall. Then again, my steal rate was already good before and I think I'm getting a little ridiculous with my steal rates now. That in conjunction with my c-bet rate and overall increase in aggression has me thinking I'm getting played back at a lot more than one supposedly should at this limit. But then no action with my good hands! What's a guy to do?
I'm making more plays, but I'm worried I'm getting some FPS. I'm also thinking my c-bet rates are too high, but I might just be not c-betting large enough lately (success rate is 49.1%, if that's good or not? It's only a couple % points down from 10NL, and I guess that's expectable).
But despite my seeming improvement, I've only managed to break-even over the last 15K hands, which has been extremely frustrating, especially since I was doing so well there for a bit... Is 25NL just that much tougher than 10NL or something? I wasn't expecting this significant of a WR reduction (it was 5.5 before at 10NL, 8.5 lifetime over 52K), especially not as my skill has been improving since I moved up. At least I feel a lot more aware and better, but I'm not showing it at all. I still spew a bit, I know, but at least I'm more aware of when I'm spewing while I'm spewing. That's an improvement of sorts I guess
One last thing I've noticed is my all-in EV isn't very significant ever really. I mean, yeah I'm running below EV right now, but it's not a big part of my game - I rarely get it in really ever. I seem to have a near-impossible time getting that sort of action. I mean, in this ~21K hand stretch I have 159 hand where I'm all-in on the turn or earlier, or about 0.7% of the time. I don't know if that's standard or what. Maybe it's not an issue.
and the #s (new numbers on top) - I put red around numbers I think are improvements and green around the ones I am not liking. Yes, that's completely bass akwards but I'm sticking with it.
Semi-edit: I'm limping/calling a LOT less in LP now, particularly on the BTN.
Thank you again in advance for the help. I'll be sure to ship you a nice pot if I ever catch you at the tables