Quote:
Originally Posted by vinnie2k
Humor me and show me the math.
Ok no math necessary
step 1.
Play 100k
step 2.
Run pokerev
step 3.
realize that your wr can vary DRASTICALLY from 100k to 100k, and that the deviation you experience is probably in the more normal range. Just imagine how different it can be for those in the more bizarre ends of the spectrum
step 4.
realize that a 10-20k sample is a drop in the ocean. There are most certainly accounts of winning players with 50k breakeven stretches etc.
step5.
If your stats major ass still needs more ego masturbation read the SD thread in the master sticky and enjoy. Take note particularly of the graph generator.
I say this out of love, i've been there before asking regs what my 10k sample meant. The sad answer is that you need to dedicate alot of time before you understand how good of a poker player you are. The other sad answer is that the input you are getting from alot of people on this forum is plain wrong.
As a rule, if someone is telling you important information about your play style, wr, W%@SD etc. after 10k hands, they are probably donks themselves, and incorporating advice prematurely can damage your game, as well as have you thinking too short term.
Learning that 2+2 has ALOT of stupid posters is vital to getting what can be gotten out of this forum.
I mean it. Dont even listen to me if you don't feel what I am saying is rationally founded.
If you can't think rationally and for yourself, don't play poker.
I truly believe that VPIP PFR, CB, 3B, F3B and a few others are the only stats that begin to converge over the sample sizes that are posted throughout this thread.
Ive seen like a few 50k+ samples and I read this thread for a while before condemning it as premature ramblings.