Hi all. I've played about 13k hands of 2NL Zoom. The first 1K hands I didn't play well; not terribly, but not well. I was opening too wide a range and c-betting too many flops (close to 100%). I made some specific adjustments - tightened slightly, particularly in EP and MP, and reduced my c-betting, specifically not c-betting underpairs on wet boards and overcards when three low cards flopped. (I'm still bet, bet, betting with big overpairs.)
After those adjustments, everything went well for the next 3k hands, and I was quickly up 650bb EV-adjusted. I got value with my bigger hands and was losing less when I missed. Admittedly, I probably ran quite well; I don't mean all-in well (although I was ahead of EV when all in), just good cards in the right situations.
However, since then it seems to have been brutal and I'm literally now back to break even EV-adjusted. I don't think I've done anything different in hands 4-13k than I was doing in hands 1-4k.
I'm trying to work out if I've got some major leaks or if I've had a terrible run of cards. I'm definitely not bleeding money through giving multiple streets of value (like calling 3 streets with AQ vs AK or JJ vs KK). I can remember one or two bad calls that possibly could have been avoided, but nothing major. I think I got stacked twice, both with close 2nd best hands, but I've got people to stack off more than that, so that can't be where the problem lies.
I'm never firing two barrels without a decent amount of equity (OESD, flush draw, gutter + overcards, etc.) on the turn. I'm also not floating. So (apart from steal attempts and c-bets) if I'm betting I have (a piece of) it. This would be a leak at higher stakes, but at 2NL?
It's difficult to say, but it just feels like I haven't been hitting many hands since the 4k mark. For instance, I'm struggling to recall a flopped set where I wasn't the preflop aggressor and took it down with a 1/2 pot c-bet.
For those of you who've played 100's of thousands of hands at these stakes, does it looke like I'm just running bad and this happens from time to time, or does it look like I'm just making some basic errors and need to adjust? Is everything a bit more "random" at the very lowest stakes due to players taking weird, unreadable lines because they don't know what they're doing (as opposed to taking weird, unreadable lines because they do)?
Is there anything massively wrong with my stats? VPIP, showdown, etc. all seem ok. I seem to be losing badly with pocket pairs, which really should be very profitable hands; probably not flopping the expected number of sets or not getting value from them. I'm possibly also not making enough of my button, but I'm not sure why this is. (UTG is oddly profitable.) I don't know if the river strength reveals anything, but I thought I'd post it.
I'm genuinely confused. Thanks for any advice.
Hole Card Results: