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Originally Posted by mpethybridge
In order to determine which, if either, of these leaks you have, you need to add WTSD, W$SD, W$WSF and RCE to your position report, and look to see where your stats are the lowest. If your low stats are concentrated in the BB, CO and button, you're having problems playing weak showdown value. If they're concentrated in the SB and EP, it's usually check/folding good hands that you should sometimes be check/calling.
Position Report with WTSD, W$SD, W$WSF and RCE
W$WSF is higher for SB and EP. It's particularly low for BB. Is this loss because I resteal from the BB and I'll usually have a weak hand when I see a flop?
W$SD% is lower at EP than CO and BTN. Just to double check, I should be check calling rivers more often from EP? I'm also taking into account that my RCE is higher for EP, meaning that I could call more often.
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Positional Win Rates:
Button Your win rate is on the low side of "good." The difference between the low side of good and good is just a few additional steals. Filter for your in position 3 bets, filter out the premiums (AA, KK, QQ, JJ and AK). If you have a positive win rate with those filters on, you can add a few 3 bets, too, to help increase your button win rate. But you should try to steal a slightly wider range.
3bet without premiums (AA, KK, QQ, JJ and AK)
I'm winning at a decent amount here, so I'll add more 3bet bluffs since it's so profitable.
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Cut off: Your cut off win rate is about half what I would like it to be. Some combination of leaks and variance is slaughtering your CO win rate.
I am 100% confident that part of the problem is that you're not stealing enough from the cut off, as I mentioned in the stealing section above. Some other filters for you to run to determine where your problem lies: Filter for your calls of 3 bets. If your losses here are more than the average size of your preflop raise from the cut off, you have a huge leak; anything between 50% and 100% of your average raise size is a leak, but obviously smaller.
Well this seems to be a bit of a disaster. Not sure if I filtered these hands correctly. I just set called 3bet to true. I'm also not sure about the last sentence in the above quote. Please explain it a little bit more.
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Filter for your steals. Your win rate should be pretty solid, from, say 50bb-100bb.
Then add saw flop = true. Your win rate should remain positive. If it's not positive in both spots, you have a leak.
Steal
Steal and saw flop=true
I don't think there are any major problems here.
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Lastly, filter for your cold calls. If you WR is not positive, you have a big leak. If it's positive but below 50bb/100, you have a leak, but a smaller one.
I'm assuming this means that I'm calling too much pre. Should I counteract this by 3betting light more and folding a bit more of the bottom of my range?
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Early Positions: For the quick fix, just fold the hands groupings that show up as negative in your holecards report filtered for those 3 positions and PFR = true.
I had a look at this report and saw that I was losing with 22, 33 and 44. I had a marginal winrate with 55. So I think for the moment I'll take small pocket pairs out of my EP opening range.
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So what you'll want to do is go to the position page, and check your flop c-bet stat for those 3 positions. It should be above average for you, so high 60s or low 70s. If it's not, then we'll know that at least part of your problem in the first three positions is that you're opening too wide and check/folding too much.
Ok so I definitely need to cbet more and be able to spot good spots to double barrel.
Thanks a lot for your time and effort mpethy
I definitely learnt a lot. I've never done any sort of analysis like this so it was a real eye-opener