I've noticed most people's EV is significantly lower than their actual winnings. Mine is exactly opposite, my EV is way higher than my actual winnings.
I've got all my money in on the turn in HUGE all-in pots where my opponent had 2-4 outs and hit. Am I doing something wrong?
Should I just be trying to take down the pot on the flop?
The last huge pot was 50NL.
Example:
Button raised to $1.25, I was BB with 66, SB calls, I call.
A
6
4
rainbow, SB checks, I check (should I lead out, I was planning to check raise the turn with such a dry board), Raiser bets $2.50.
I call, other guy folds.
Turn 9
($8.75) Hero checks, Villain bets $5, Hero raises to $13, Villain pushes all-in $70.
I had $80 left and I forget his stats but he wasn't a super reg nor had crazy good stats so I didn't put him on doing this here with AA, or 99 (I probably actually fold here vs some regs but they would never take this overbet all-in line) . I figured if he had 99 I'd pay him out, I really felt he had AT-AK.
I called, he had A9, 9 River.
These types of hands give me huge +EV but obviously poor winnings since I seem to lose them. Should I just not mess around and check raise the flop or lead out the flop?