Well, Well, Well, this post has been around for a long time now. I remember posting in it when I was just a weeee lad.
All kidding aside, I've been finding myself doubting my game a lot lately. I slowly Ground my way up from 2nl w/ a $50.00 roll to a $600.00 roll and have been taking shots at 25nl. Unfortunatly I've been getting absolutely crushed. I'm gonna post my stats here, and comment on them myself. Let me know what you guys think about my stats, and my analysis of them. How often do you get to analyze an analysis, I mean come on! Ok, here goes nothing.
Wow, getting those to work was extra difficult for some reason. On to my analysis.
First the basic positional awareness seems to be there. I'm very tighter UTG and slowly loosen up as I approach the button, and am loosest OTB. Looking at it, I'm still playing >10% of my hands in early position, which I would think is a leak. So I should tighten up even more in EP (UTG, UTG+1, and MP) Looking at the stats, the way I am playing in those positions now, I'm almost better off just folding 100% in them. That means its a huge leak for me.
My Blind play seems to be alright, I'm making back 2/3 of what I pay to the blinds from those positions, which as I understand is considered acceptable.
Looking at the actions by street, it looks like my turn/river aggression are both a little low. I would try to rationalize this by saying that most of the time when I cbet I take it down, if I don't I figure the person has a hand (mostly playing pots in this manner against people w/ fold to cbets of 60%+) so when I see a turn I'm going to have a 2 street value hand and am going to want to pot control either the turn or river. Most of my aggressive draw plays are going to be made on the flop since that is the point at which I have the most equity in the hand. So I check to take the free card, or call if I'm getting odds. I'm sure there is way more to this and it is one of the things I really feel like I could use help with.
My ATS is 45, which is pretty high, and 86% of the time I try to steal I either win the pot w/o a showdown or win at showdown. I think that means I am pretty successfull at that aspect of my game.
One thing I noticed is that my redline is very negative which is normal at 10nl and less. However it is still very negative at 25nl. Some things I could do to work on that is to fold sooner in a hand. If I'm in a hand that I'm probably not going to take to showdown, to let it go sooner. And to be more aggressive on the turn/river w/ hands I plan on taking to showdown to get more folds from very bad hands, and more calls from the hands that I beat. This would both lower my w$ @ sd which is a bit high I imagine for someone playing a 22/16 style.
I'm not sure what the 28.8% went to showdown signifies, according to the OP it is a bit high, which I suppose would be fixed by me value betting harder again. Not that I should be changing my game to attempt to fit specific stats, but I feel like I've been bleeding at 25nl. Trying to find something small to change.
I did fine at the micros, but have been having real trouble at 25nl. I feel like I'm playing good poker, but after 12k hands I'm still down more then 8 buy-ins.
I haven't changed my game much from the micros, but the player types have changed a lot, meaning I'm bluffing the nits/regs more and vbetting less w/ small pots hands (TPGK) while still Vtowning fish whenever possible.
I don't want this to turn into a big strat post though, so I'll stop here.
What are your thoughts folks?
any responses are greatly appreciated.
TLDR :: HALP I'm getting beat at 25nl, after walking through the micros.