[Zoom NL25] Call or Fold? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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[Zoom NL25] Call or Fold?

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03-06-2017 , 01:04 PM

Solidus66

stranger

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 12

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 117.4 BB (VPIP: 75.00, PFR: 62.50, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 8)
BB: 129.52 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
UTG: 101.4 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
MP: 106.44 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 9)
CO: 110.48 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BB raises to 9.6 BB, Hero calls 6.6 BB

Flop: (19.6 BB, 2 players) 4

BB bets 6.4 BB, Hero calls 6.4 BB

Turn: (32.4 BB, 2 players) A

BB bets 16.08 BB, Hero calls 16.08 BB

River: (64.56 BB, 2 players) 6

BB bets 45.6 BB, Hero???

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03-06-2017 , 01:13 PM

backdooralley

newbie

Join Date: Feb 2017 Posts: 21

A tuff one. He repping strength all they way. You don´t have many hands on V so hard to know how he plays. I would say he hs repping AA AK AQ KK QQ, so with that I would fold this.

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03-06-2017 , 01:45 PM

DomnulPescar

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2016 Posts: 636

we are only beating KQ and he hardly if ever has any bluffs here so this is a tight fold

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03-06-2017 , 01:57 PM

whitemares

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 5,762

Given the positions and the fact that villain is likely a reg, I'm probably calling here, although I'm not too thrilled about it.

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03-06-2017 , 02:15 PM

DomnulPescar

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2016 Posts: 636

Quote:

Originally Posted by whitemares

Given the positions and the fact that villain is likely a reg, I'm probably calling here, although I'm not too thrilled about it.

what do you figure he has that takes this line and we beat?

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03-06-2017 , 02:56 PM

whitemares

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 5,762

Quote:

Originally Posted by DomnulPescar

what do you figure he has that takes this line and we beat?

Air?

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03-06-2017 , 03:07 PM

Haizemberg93

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2016 Posts: 7,254

Jam JT fold KQ call AQ

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03-06-2017 , 03:35 PM

DomnulPescar

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2016 Posts: 636

Quote:

Originally Posted by whitemares

Air?

fair enough

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03-06-2017 , 06:59 PM

AimHigher

adept

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 844

Quote:

Originally Posted by whitemares

Air?

Which air hands in his 3bet range do you expect to barrel that turn?

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03-06-2017 , 08:39 PM

#10

whitemares

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 5,762

Quote:

Originally Posted by AimHigher

Which air hands in his 3bet range do you expect to barrel that turn?

Something with no sdv? If you're asking for specific combos that doesn't really matter.

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03-06-2017 , 08:48 PM

#11

Check_The_Nuts

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 6,930

Quote:

Originally Posted by whitemares

Air?

So you figure he's barreling off spots where we have two pair a ton with pocket pairs? KQA37r he's gunna be seeing jt/kq/aq/qq/aa/kk a ton on the river.

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03-06-2017 , 08:58 PM

#12

Monsees

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 458

Quote:

Originally Posted by AimHigher

Which air hands in his 3bet range do you expect to barrel that turn?

We have no idea what his 3bet range looks like. I think some pure air that cbet flop with like a backdoor might continue on an ace to fold out Qx and maybe some Kx, like a 76s type combo. I think T9s and J9s could barrel that turn as well, but again we don't know his 3b range. As for how many of those combos would fire again river, it's ambitious to say all of them would. The problem I have is that he might be value betting KQ targeting Ax since sometimes our AK and AQ 4bet, and then folding river is kind of a disaster.

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03-06-2017 , 09:38 PM

#13

c.montecristo

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 187

bb hads big 3bet range vs BTN so air is big part from this+ enough regs attack 3barrels like this vs capped ranges in blinds wars so i think i call AQ fold KQ ..

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03-06-2017 , 10:51 PM

#14

whitemares

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 5,762

Quote:

Originally Posted by Check_The_Nuts

So you figure he's barreling off spots where we have two pair a ton with pocket pairs? KQA37r he's gunna be seeing jt/kq/aq/qq/aa/kk a ton on the river.

It's not unreasonable to assume that a possible reg might do this at a nonzero frequency. It certainly doesn't have to be with pocket pairs, and QQ+ are much less likely to be in our range.

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