NL25 - set drawy board - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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NL25 - set drawy board

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10-25-2014 , 10:56 PM

kts82

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 452

no reads 23/16/1.2 50 hands

turn is a shove?

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (UTG+1): $25 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $57.30 (229.2 bb)
MP1: $18.66 (74.6 bb)
MP2: $10 (40 bb)
MP3: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
CO: $29.66 (118.6 bb)
BTN: $34.33 (137.3 bb)
SB: $19.75 (79 bb)
BB: $33.86 (135.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 8

Hero raises to $0.75, 5 folds, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($1.85) K

(2 players)
Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

Turn: ($4.35) 9

(2 players)
Hero bets $3, BTN raises to $8.07, Hero ...

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10-26-2014 , 02:04 AM

dogarse

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 3,985

Oh yuck, it's such a gross spot. We've only put $4 I to the pot, maybe we should just cut our losses and fold (and I'm terrible at folding).

I've played a lot of NL25 and IMO players aren't bluffing their draws not wh turn anywhere near as often as they should be so I'd probably be weighting his range more towards the value end where he has all sets and straights.

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10-26-2014 , 08:55 AM

ScoopMonkey

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,910

I'm with above, it's a pretty gross spot. In general I wouldn't say it's good practice to be in the habit of folding sets at 25NL but this is definitely a spot where I would consider it.

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10-26-2014 , 10:40 AM

tobe4funas

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 5,661

probs call now and fold most rivers

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10-27-2014 , 12:36 AM

maples

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 63

Putting him on better sets, QJ and all combinations of flush draws he should have after calling an UTG raise puts you at about 40% equity against his range. He'll have the odds to call with those flush draws so you should have no fold equity.

So if I'm looking at this right by putting in $20ish to win $50ish this should be break-even. If you think he isn't playing all of his flush draws like this, it seems like an easy fold. If you think he's ever doing this with AA or AK or something, it makes it an easy call. As it is, without much villain-specific info to go on, it's a close decision but I'm leaning towards folding.

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