Originally Posted by Coolossus
Postflop he may see me with high agg%
In which case I tend to check; I don't think we're folding enough of his range. Also, we do have some small amount of showdown value versus his range if he does check behind.
I also tend to think that villains as a whole, with small/medium pocket pairs, are more likely to fold the turn to a second barrel, than fold the river after the turn got checked. (I suspect at higher levels, where there are more thinking players, the opposite could well be true, although I could be completely wrong.)
That said, we do have to have some
bluffs in this spot (although probably nowhere near being balanced). The question is what hands we could have arrived at the river having taken the c-bet flop, check turn line, on this board, that are optimal for bluffing? And to ensure we aren't overdoing our bluffs, we should also think about how many combos we'd be now value-betting this river with having taken the same line to this point.