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| Micro Stakes Full Ring Discussion of up to .25/.50 online no-limit pot-limit Texas hold'em full ring games, situations and strategies |
02-26-2010, 02:08 PM
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#76
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: what more can I say?
Posts: 8,235
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
those 2 go hand in hand are the most overrated things in online poker right now, thinking way too much about red lines instead of just playing better poker and thinking that a LAG style easily solves this problem which is simply not true...
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02-26-2010, 02:12 PM
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#77
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adept
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Detroit.
Posts: 986
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexB182
those 2 go hand in hand are the most overrated things in online poker right now, thinking way too much about red lines instead of just playing better poker and thinking that a LAG style easily solves this problem which is simply not true...
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+1.
if you can't range well enough, it wont matter what preflop style you play.
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02-26-2010, 02:27 PM
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#78
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old hand
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: setting a tarp to induce a raze
Posts: 1,901
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexB182
those 2 go hand in hand are the most overrated things in online poker right now, thinking way too much about red lines instead of just playing better poker and thinking that a LAG style easily solves this problem which is simply not true...
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you and i approach LAG very differently. i am a solid winning TAG player who understands the fundamentals very well. i understand board textures, cbetting, and opponents. i can range people correctly a majority of the time. i'm not trying to just spew into every pot.
whatever you are saying about red lines does not make sense, as that's not what i'm worried about. i'm worried about playing the best possible style that will make me the most money. i don't think there's anything easy about LAG style at all, in fact quite the opposite. u make far too many assumptions. it's as if you think it's impossible to play LAG the right way. difficult yes, but there are players who are very successful with this technique.
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02-26-2010, 02:36 PM
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#79
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 6,345
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexB182
those 2 go hand in hand are the most overrated things in online poker right now, thinking way too much about red lines instead of just playing better poker and thinking that a LAG style easily solves this problem which is simply not true...
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Well, I think it's good for a learning poker player to question anything and everything. Now perhaps you can't do anything about the red line. That's a possibility, but perhaps you can. And if you can, why not? Micro stakes have a lot of new players who are unsure about a lot. I can't really fault them too much for asking these questions
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02-26-2010, 02:39 PM
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#80
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grinder
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 691
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by DDAWD
I think he's being a bit unfair. It's more that a lot of people look at their graphs and see a very ugly looking redline. Then they wonder how they can go about fixing it and playing LAG seems like the obvious answer. I think for most of these people, it's not so much about playing LAG for it's own sake, but how to stop losing money in non-showdown hands.
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You can play TAG instead of nitty and have a breakeven/slightly up redline. Moving from nit to LAG will crush you imo.
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02-26-2010, 02:44 PM
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#81
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: In Thailand
Posts: 4,291
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
oh wow I love uNL they talk about relevant stuff!
imo any one who can win at poker is doing well. But i also think that anyone winning over 2PTBB is doing pretty good in these days games at any stakes over 25nl. TBH I think full ring is almost harder then HU and 6 max for a bunch of reasons, the highest of which is game selection. Like HU is pretty easy to game select but if you can find 2 fish at a 6 max table you are laughing. I'm pretty drunk but there you go., honestly though if we could have a selection of win rates in this thread of old school regs for the past 2 years and they averaged over 2ptbb I would be very suprised, no offense to anyone but poker has gotten much harder. also PTBB/100 is sorta over rated here because full ring is all about an hourly rate. like why would you play 9 handed if you only played 2 tables.w
When did kurt become a mod?!?
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02-26-2010, 02:52 PM
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#82
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: May 2006
Location: making videos
Posts: 9,214
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimmyJack
You can play TAG instead of nitty and have a breakeven/slightly up redline. Moving from nit to LAG will crush you imo.
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almost no TAG will be able to do a slightly positive redline. almost no TAG will be able to keep a breakeven redline. The ones that do, are usually in the twilight zone between TAG and LAG (the 17/14 types).
Having a negative redline for a TAG is fine and normal. The important thing is the slope of that redline. A really bad slope needs work, but a nice -20* slope is fine (assuming the overall shape is alright)
The bigger determinants of redline WR come from stealing, 3B-ing, 4B-ing, and well-timed postflop pressure. These are things that LAGs do often, and TAGs do rarely. (and if a TAG did them more, then their stats would loosen up and thus they would look more like a LAG)
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02-26-2010, 02:53 PM
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#83
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old hand
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: setting a tarp to induce a raze
Posts: 1,901
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
i'm going to make this clear one more time. LAG style should only be used by players who have excellent hand reading and board reading skills, along with the ability to play postflop on multiple streets. if some random monkey steps up and tries to implement this style, they will lose a lot of money a vast majority of the time. but if a player with solid fundamentals wants to attempt LAG in hopes of exposing opponent's weaknesses, you have to concede that there are some players who have the ability to do this.
also, imo, games are not necessarily tougher at all they are just much higher variance. 5bb/100 at 25nl is easily sustainable imo
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02-26-2010, 02:55 PM
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#84
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: May 2006
Location: making videos
Posts: 9,214
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by caddymix024
i'm going to make this clear one more time. LAG style should only be used by players who have excellent hand reading and board reading skills, along with the ability to play postflop on multiple streets. if some random monkey steps up and tries to implement this style, they will lose a lot of money a vast majority of the time. but if a player with solid fundamentals wants to attempt LAG in hopes of exposing opponent's weaknesses, you have to concede that there are some players who have the ability to do this.
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not sure who this is directed at...but I am usually classified as a LAG...so I agree with you
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02-26-2010, 03:00 PM
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#85
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Lucky Number Seven
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: 0EV against everyone ... seriously
Posts: 16,472
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexB182
I love how everyone thinks playing a LAG style will boost their winrates, crush every stake and cure cancer along the way...
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I picked up a super-lag game and beat 25nl at double my lifetime winrate as a TAG. (<- had to include something about winrate to keep it germane) I have since left it behind and gone straight past TAG into nit as I moved up. Its a tool.
I agree with you completely about redline.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mao
+1.
if you can't range well enough, it wont matter what preflop style you play.
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+2
There isn't a chance I could have played that loose and not hemorrhage money without my significant accumulated experience.
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02-26-2010, 03:20 PM
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#86
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grinder
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 691
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by *Split*
almost no TAG will be able to do a slightly positive redline. almost no TAG will be able to keep a breakeven redline. The ones that do, are usually in the twilight zone between TAG and LAG (the 17/14 types).
Having a negative redline for a TAG is fine and normal. The important thing is the slope of that redline. A really bad slope needs work, but a nice -20* slope is fine (assuming the overall shape is alright)
The bigger determinants of redline WR come from stealing, 3B-ing, 4B-ing, and well-timed postflop pressure. These are things that LAGs do often, and TAGs do rarely. (and if a TAG did them more, then their stats would loosen up and thus they would look more like a LAG)
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This is my graph from a few months ago (mix of 25NL and 50NL, about 2/3 of 25NL) :
my stats were 12.7/10.5 overall (12.8/10.6 from 25NL and 12.5/10.4 from 50NL) with a winrate of 3.29ptbb/100 (4.85 @ 25NL and 2.62 @ 50NL), I know its a very small sample but I believe its still possible to maintain a breakeven or slightly positive redline playing TAG. Also my 3bet was of 3.4% and my steal was 27%, so a lot of the redline comes from postflop play, IMO.
Stealing and 3betting is very important for the redline, but, no matter what you do preflop, if you play fit or fold postflop you are going to have a negative redline. (even more so with the "stantard" 4bb+1bb per limper raise size, which is a big raise)
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02-26-2010, 03:27 PM
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#87
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Lucky Number Seven
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: 0EV against everyone ... seriously
Posts: 16,472
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Stats and Graphs Analysis Thread is located here. I suggest we keep the two conversations separate.
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02-26-2010, 03:28 PM
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#88
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: "That Gay Chap from 2+2"
Posts: 10,730
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Jesus Christ, not again.
Kurt, put me on the COTW schedule for the next open slot.
Topic: "The Last Thread EVER Discussing Red Lines"
Last edited by mpethybridge; 02-26-2010 at 03:32 PM.
Reason: to add: Please. My manners go fast when red line comes up.
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02-26-2010, 03:31 PM
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#89
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Persona non grata
Posts: 7,743
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimmyJack
I know its a very small sample but I believe its still possible to maintain a breakeven or slightly positive redline playing TAG.
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It is true. At least mine is postive.
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02-26-2010, 03:37 PM
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#90
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Lucky Number Seven
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: 0EV against everyone ... seriously
Posts: 16,472
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Re: *** Let's Chat About Win Rates! ***
Quote:
Originally Posted by mpethybridge
Jesus Christ, not again.
Kurt, put me on the COTW schedule for the next open slot.
Topic: "The Last Thread EVER Discussing Red Lines"
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Done and done. I will update the thread in the next few days.
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