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KQs in blinds vs tight reg opening CO and fishy limper KQs in blinds vs tight reg opening CO and fishy limper

10-19-2014 , 02:56 PM
[converted_hand][hand_history]Merge, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #31858011

MP1: $13.05 (52.2 bb) 80/13/17 over 15 hands
MP2: $9.91 (39.6 bb)
MP3: $23.08 (92.3 bb)
CO: $26.30 (105.2 bb) 14/10/5, C-bet %= 60%
BTN: $23.80 (95.2 bb)
SB: $39.31 (157.2 bb)
BB: $25 (100 bb) KQ

Preflop:
MP1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, CO raises to $1, 2 folds, BB calls $0.75, MP1 calls $0.75

Flop: ($3.10) 4 7 K (3 players)
BB bets $1.75, MP1 folds, CO calls $1.75

Turn: ($6.60) 2 (2 players)
BB checks, CO bets $2.50, BB calls $2.50

River: ($11.60) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, CO bets $5.80

so first thing through my head is should I 3-bet. If I 3-bet, the regular is likely to fold and only continue with better hands; also I will be forcing out the fish. Since the fish still has 50bb and is going to make so many worse mistakes than the reg, I elect to flat. Fish comes along. Flop comes down very dry and uncoordinated. I look at positions, and fish is on my left with reg on my right. I elect to donk because I think I can get the fish to call w worse and maybe even get a street or two of value from the reg. Also, the regular doesnt c-bet at a high percentage, so seems like I donking is fine. Although, maybe since the flop is so dry, C/C is a viable option. I donk, fish folds, reg calls, turn bricks and I figure the regs range here is KT, KJ, AK, 99-QQ(maybe 88), sets. I check and he bets under half pot. At this point I figure he can be going for some thin value from Kx, maybe underpairs(but he prob checks those back) So calling the turn I think is okay, but probably cant be super happy about it if he continues on the river. I C river, and he bets half pot. I think he prob checks back KT, maybe even KJ, I split w KQ. What would you do? I think there are alot of value combos relative to hands I am ahead of, and I dont think villain shows up w many(if any) bluffs here
KQs in blinds vs tight reg opening CO and fishy limper Quote
10-19-2014 , 11:31 PM
I would just call since your getting 3:1. Here's a breakdown with an estimate of frequencies

Range your beating/chopping (Bet river frequency %):
KT - 8 combos (25%) - 2
KJ - 8 combos (50%) - 4
KQ - 6 combos (100%) - 6
= 12 combos (Probably even add a few more combos in for a randomness factor)

Range your losing to:
AK - 8 combos (100%)
77 - 6 combos (100%)
44 - 6 combos (100%)
= 20 combos

*Seems like he would raise flop or choose a bigger river bet size with AA, so I think its unlikely
KQs in blinds vs tight reg opening CO and fishy limper Quote
10-20-2014 , 01:16 AM
Two legendary Yu-Gi-Oh! players itt .

I find having MPs Fold to 3B and Limp stat here useful, lets us know if we can isolate the fish with a small 3B instead of going multiway, as played I think river is an easy fold.
KQs in blinds vs tight reg opening CO and fishy limper Quote
10-20-2014 , 09:51 AM
I did call and was shown a set of 44.
KQs in blinds vs tight reg opening CO and fishy limper Quote
10-20-2014 , 09:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 4mbience_
Two legendary Yu-Gi-Oh! players itt .

I find having MPs Fold to 3B and Limp stat here useful, lets us know if we can isolate the fish with a small 3B instead of going multiway, as played I think river is an easy fold.
the small 3-bet is interesting but I think that the regs fold to 3-bet will go way down if we make a small 3-bet and the fish comes along, so all that we would end up doing is inflating the pot OOP and end up in the same boat but with more money in the middle haha
KQs in blinds vs tight reg opening CO and fishy limper Quote

      
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